They have to test first how this new middle range card will do. They are moving to new production node, so it is easier to start with something simplier at first. Other thing is that they have said that the next "new" card would be DX11, so I would expect to see it near the time when win7 is ready and the specks are set. Until then, maybe some more of those die shrinks... But who knows. Win7 will be out near the end of this year... or then much later ;-) But really I don't think so. Because of all this Vista hate around, I think that they try to make it ready as early as possible. So it's possible to see "new" higher end ATI card at Q4 of this year. It depends on how these Nvidia shrinks works out. For a long time seeing ATI is not in particularly hurry. They can wait before any new innovations, because Nvidia is "behind" in DX-segment... I am guite sure, that if this 40nm RV740 is any good, it's possible to see smaller version of 4870, but it's allso guite possible that ATI will go directly to DX11 card much late in this year. It will all depends on how good yeald they get from this 40nm node. If they are not so good, they stick on old untill the new cards come out.