Old_Fogie_Late_Bloomer
The reality is, if Archos don't mess up the controls, this is going to sell. If your standard for success is "outsells the iPad mini", then sure, it's going to be a failure. On the other hand, if your standard for success is (more reasonably) "sells enough to turn a profit while serving a unique niche in the market", then it will succeed.
I was going to attempt a point-by-point rebuttal of your claims, but let's be honest, when you state that "Nintendo's handheld devices" are undergoing a "massive decline", you're clearly not letting any pesky "facts" get in the way of your "argument". The 3DS is doing fine. Obviously people want portable gaming devices. If the Gamepad 2 ends up being a decent portable gaming device, people will buy it.
First, my measure is not the iPad mini, where on Earth did you get that?
Second, I am comparing to comparable devices in its price range, you know its competition, substitute devices. It will not sell a FRACTION of what they have.
Third, if you know ANYTHING about Archos' product history, you'll know this will be a complete flop.
Forth, are you kidding about Nintendo 3DS? Nintendo has shed not just marketshare but actual marketcap and viability as a company the past 4-5 years. Their handheld revenue and profit is leading this company down to near financial collapse. Which facts do you have? Don't you follow Nintendo's financial reports and market analysis on their handheld units? You'd clearly know they are dying in this market segment,
http://www.phonearena.com/news/Nintendo-claims-the-iPhone-killed-the-handheld-game-console_id29533
Fifth, this won't sell. It is not a decent portable gaming device to begin with. A second pure portable gaming devices sales have decline what 50-75% from what it used to be. Its also a shrinking market, so gross sales and growth rate have MASSIVE negative rates of growth.
You're talking about facts? You don't have any, don't know any.
As an investor, I pick and choose my company based on their balance sheets, core business growth and future releases. Nintendo both in console and handheld is on a MASSIVE decline in every segment, and has had their first yearly loss after what 25 years. Its a continual trend not an anomaly. This is a dying company and the pure handheld video game market is a dead one. Hence why this product, produce by Archos will be a complete and utter failure.
At the highest the may get a niche but won't make a profit. The substitute goods are so much better than this, and the marginal utility from a customer market point of view is way too low.