Huh? In fact, a pandemic can be declared while it's happening, and even before it peaks.Real pandemics won't be known until it's at its peak which won't be known until it subsides.
Huh back at ya!Huh? In fact, a pandemic can be declared while it's happening, and even before it peaks.
What does that have to do with deciding whether Corona Virus is a pandemic?Huh back at ya!
The 1918 flu was pandemic and claimed millions of lives.
An epidemic is the rapid spread of infectious disease to a large number of people in a given population within a short period of time, usually two weeks or less. ... The declaration of an epidemic usually requires a good understanding of a baseline rate of incidence; epidemics for certain diseases, such as influenza, are defined as reaching some defined increase in incidence above this baseline.
Epidemiology is an entire field of study devoted to modeling, estimating, and projecting the spread of diseases. Given relatively few parameters about a disease, epidemiologists can estimate the scale of an epidemic. You don't have to wait for it to peak, before having a pretty good idea of a disease's potential.Like I said: "Real pandemics won't be known until it's at its peak which won't be known until it subsides"
Well, the media hype is driven by a couple things. First, China is taking very draconian measures to try and contain the spread of the disease. You basically have several major cities the size of New York or London that are on lock-down. Plus, major travel restrictions being enforced by foreign governments & evacuation of their personnel.Not this media hype that's going on.
Yeah, a joke about that keeps stirring in the back of my mind, too.By May of this year the only thing that will be remembered about the Corona virus is that it was named after a beer.
Unfortunately, what defines a serious outbreak is not simply whether the mortality rate is at least 50%.There are more cases of people having survived it than dying from it.
Ref: Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases by Johns Hopkins CSSE
World wide cases:
Total recovered: 30k +-
Total deaths: 2770
Oh hell yes. I'd love to be wrong. I am not at all invested in this happening. I'm just trying to explain why it's legitimately a big deal and something worthy of attention (but not panic).If I'm wrong I'll be only to happy to say I was wrong.
The question is will you do the same?