God i'm sick of the half-assed or flat out wrong assessments given in these THG articles.
The larrabee performanced was described in the classic misleading intel fashion. It will be able to achieve UP TO 16 flops/second per clock on each core. No one seems to pay attention to the fact that they can't even gaurentee 16 flops, it could be anything between 2 and 16...so the best it could do, they have already said that the first larrabe they launch will have 8 cores ....running at full performance is...
1 Ghz core x 16 flops = 16 Gigaflops/sec x 8 cores = 128 gigaflops/sec
2 ghz core x 16 flops = 32 gigaflops/sec x 8 cores = 256 gigaflops/sec
3 Ghz core x 16 flops = 48 gigaflops/sec x 8 cores = 384 gigaflops/sec
the $270 ATI 4870xt already does more than 1 teraflop/second on a single GPU core. By the time that larrabee is launched in another year or more those $270 cards will be under $100. Intel whose has continually badmouthed AMD for their practice of putting all multi-core cpu's on one piece of silicon...along with an IMC, and the cache's, they haven't launched a native quad core chip yet for that very reason, but they won't have any issues with yields on 8-16-24-32-40-48 core larrabe chips? Along with the fact that they notoriously suck in any and all things GPU related.
Intel said they want to have a 32core larrabe out by the end of 2010, so in another 16 months they will be capable of producing a gfx card that does
1 Ghz core x 16 flops = 16 Gigaflops/sec x 32 cores = 512 gigaflops/sec
2 ghz core x 16 flops = 32 gigaflops/sec x 32 cores = 1024 gigaflops/sec
3 Ghz core x 16 flops = 48 gigaflops/sec x 32 cores = 1536 gigaflops/sec
Wow, those numbers look great huh? they'll be able to do 336 gigaflops/sec more than one, single core $270 ati 4870....within the next 16 months. IF they can actually get the clock speeds up to 3ghz, which will result in a 250-300 watt card.
The x850xt Pe is not quite 4 years old, it did around 225 Gigaflop/sec
the x1950xtx in 2006 did 400-450 Gigaflop/sec
The 3870 in 2007 did 550-600 gigaflop/sec
And the 4870 released 7 months later does 1000-1200 Gigaflop/sec
In 3.5 years the processing power of a single GPU has increased by 5 times. The RV870 is slated to launch in 2009, before larrabe, which will probably mean a processing power increase to 1500 gigaflops/sec, and will be done on a 40nm core.
The fact that intel is also going to allow the larrabe to be an undefined API makes for a 3 time gamble, trying to compete with ATI and AMD out of the gate, huge leap in multi-core density, and relying on non-existing software to get to a place where it can even compete. None of their strong suits. As it stands now games would have to be coded specifically to run on larrabe, (didn't that work out well for agiea with PhysX?)
When GPU's are becoming more and more programable, capable of off setting the CPU load, this is the complete opposite of what the industry needs in order to make progress. Running quake 4 in some bastard wide screen resolution of 1280x890 or something is hardly a breakthrough, whether it's ray-traced or not. AMD demo's realtime ray-tracing using a 4800 gpu several months before.
In the past two months news on the larrabee has changed from It's gonna provide 1.2 to 1.5 times the performance of current nvidia and ati cards, to it will perform as well or slightly slower than nvidia and ati cards but it will be low power and easier for programmers to code games for, to it won't be for any specific graphics API so it needs to be coded special to be used, to see high performance it will draw alot of power and produce ALOT of heat and oh yes in another year or so it should be performing on par with stuff that's available today, so really by the time it's realeased the cards that are out today will cost 50-75% less....but hey, they're only proven to work great alrady, and why would you buy something that old when you can pay the intel preffered customor price that's 5-10 times higher than the competitions performance equal.
New and different doesn't mean innovative, innovatie implies major performance increases, less power consumption and such. This is more like what i would expect to see from a group of speed freaks with good financing.
Kind of like someone that has the really great idea of shaving their hair off, and making it into a wig so their hair...will be a hat too! and it'll be easier to wash, and won't have to brush it or get it cut either. True? Sure, practical? Well you'd think so if you were hopped up on speed.