Lenny Conundrum

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What percentage of users answering this question will get it correct?



How is there a correct answer to this? I start out thinking I understand and
then it starts boggling my mind. It's very confusing if you really think about
it I think. Don't you think so???

;~ ?

 

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Not really, but there is a chance for multiple corrects or no correct.

Lets say there were 10 replies:

2
2
4
50
50
50
50
50
37
29

That means 50% of the people said 50%. So 50 would be right.

However, if 10 people answered:

10
2
2
50
50
50
50
50
42
67

Then 10% answered 10% and 50% answered 50%, so they would both be right....

At least that makes sense to me.. perhaps I'm insane

 

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Since it is just a guess, basically, there will probably be thousands more
contestants than usual. And since the only possible answers are 0-100 the
spread should be pretty even for each number, I'd think. So.... if there
are basically 101 possible answers, and every answer gets about the same
number of votes... it becomes pretty easy. But I've only gotten 1
conundrum right so far (almost 2 but I had the decimal in the wrong
place!) so don't take my word for it. This is also assuming not many
people choose something like 8000% as their answer.

 

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snicklebeast wrote:

> since the only possible answers are 0-100 the
> spread should be pretty even for each number, I'd think.

I wouldn't expect an equal distribution. How many people are going to
guess that 100 of the guesses are correct?

I expected only a small number would answer correctly, and the first
number that came to mind was 5%, so that's what I put. In hindsight,
that was foolish -- if that was the first number that came to mind for
me, it probably was for many others as well, so probably more than 5%
picked 5%.

 

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Archived from groups: alt.games.neopets (More info?)

no one will know until next week

"Brian Anderson" <not@home.now> wrote in message
news:x_6Yd.65548$SQ4.24534@fe1.texas.rr.com...
> snicklebeast wrote:
>
> > since the only possible answers are 0-100 the
> > spread should be pretty even for each number, I'd think.
>
> I wouldn't expect an equal distribution. How many people are going to
> guess that 100 of the guesses are correct?
>
> I expected only a small number would answer correctly, and the first
> number that came to mind was 5%, so that's what I put. In hindsight,
> that was foolish -- if that was the first number that came to mind for
> me, it probably was for many others as well, so probably more than 5%
> picked 5%.