The end of GPU shortage is near, says Colette Kress.
Nvidia CFO: GPU Shortages Will Ease in 2H 2022 : Read more
Nvidia CFO: GPU Shortages Will Ease in 2H 2022 : Read more
It remains to be seen what exactly Nvidia's GeForce RTX 40-series 'Ada Lovelace' graphics cards bring to the table in terms of features and performance, but if the new family significantly improves supply, gamers will certainly appreciate it.
The best graphics cards for gaming have been in tight supply for nearly two years now due to strong demand amid insufficient supply, but Nvidia says that shortages of its GPUs will ease in the second half of 2020.
If the performance bumps are as large as the presentations claim they are going to be (more than double) then you can expect 30+% MSRP bumps across the board. In the past, AMD and Nvidia usually spread a new smaller node's shrink potential over 3-4 generations and ~30% performance bumps per cycle. They'll want to cash in on putting out most of N5's potential right from the start.Just hope the price is not significantly higher as well!!
"But we can speculate here a bit."
Common - Ethereum 2.0 - the merge - is currently scheduled for June 2022 and that is obviously the reason as PoW Ethereum mining then goes away. It's extremely likely that eBay etc. will be flooded with used GPUs even if there are other coins that can be mined, and this will massively improve supply.
Tom's Hardware - considering the number of crypto/mining articles you post you should be aware of these things.
Exactly if they don’t implement a queue then we’ll never get oneHmmm....are they going to stop selling, en masse, direct to miners?
I think not.
Incorrect - Nvidia only sell their CMP products directly to miners. AIB manufacturers on the other hand, do sell gaming GPUs to miners.Hmmm....are they going to stop selling, en masse, direct to miners?
I think not.
If you've been following Ethereum development closely you'd realise it's very unlikely to be delayed further this time. Sure, it might slip from June by a few months at most, but it's not going to go into 2023. Hence it is very safe for Nvidia to say GPU supply will be better in the 2nd half of 2022.Considering that Ethereum's move to proof of stake has been threatened since 2016, with the move continually pushed farther into the horizon as the supposed date approaches every time, it's a bit of a stretch at this point to not take this with a huge grain of salt.
If they do that they will lose significant market share to Intel and AMD who can undercut them with their next gen GPUs on a price/performance basis.If the performance bumps are as large as the presentations claim they are going to be (more than double) then you can expect 30+% MSRP bumps across the board. In the past, AMD and Nvidia usually spread a new smaller node's shrink potential over 3-4 generations and ~30% performance bumps per cycle. They'll want to cash in on putting out most of N5's potential right from the start.
Look at the MSRP on the RX6500. $200 MSRP, likely $300 street price for something that performs about the same as an RX580 with a bunch of things crippled. AMD is also aiming for 2.4X as much performance on next-gen, so you can bet your shorts people are going to pay through the nose for the N5 silicon needed to achieve that. Next gen will see substantial like-for-like tier price bumps across the board from both AMD and Nvidia.If they do that they will lose significant market share to Intel and AMD who can undercut them with their next gen GPUs on a price/performance basis.
but miners wont buy them if ethereum is pow or whatever its calledHmmm....are they going to stop selling, en masse, direct to miners?
I think not.
To be fair, when Jensen made that statement (that shortages would ease in 2021) nobody knew that crypto was about to take off.
Crypto took off in 2020 before the RTX3000s launched. What he screwed up on is underestimating how bad this new crypto wave was going to be when combined with industry-wide component shortage. What he couldn't predict is covid disrupting supply chains across the globe for three years.To be fair, when Jensen made that statement (that shortages would ease in 2021) nobody knew that crypto was about to take off.
When Jenson made that statement (beginning of Oct), Eth was ~$350. It wasn't up much (by crypto standards), it had already hit $250-$300 a multiple times over the previous couple years since the price collapsed in 2018. Based on prices and mining difficulty in Oct 2019, you'd make ~$1.10 per day (before electricity costs) with an RTX 3080. Compared to ~$4.50 a day a few months later (Jan 2021), and about that much today as well. Assuming $0.05/kWh, even if you were able to get the card at MSRP back then your days until break even would be ~double what it is now (with an RTX 3080 non-LHR off Ebay for ~$1850).Crypto took off in 2020 before the RTX3000s launched. What he screwed up on is underestimating how bad this new crypto wave was going to be when combined with industry-wide component shortage. What he couldn't predict is covid disrupting supply chains across the globe for three years.
I meant "took off" as in ETH started the year from $130 in January 2020 and ended the year over $700 with half of that rise being after the 3000-series launch. It had been on a steady rebound with the market getting drained of nearly everything that could mine ETH long before the 3000-series launched.I guess "took off" is open to interpretation, but price didn't start seeing exponential growth and hitting new highs until months after the RTX 3000 release/Jensen's statement.
That's not really taking off. It was $380 in October. Since then, it has hit as high as $4800 in November 2021. There's no way anyone would have predicted that much growth going 13 months forward based on January 2020 to October 2020 rise of $135 to $380. The price of ethereum went up almost $1500 in one month alone in September 2021, a year after Jensen made his prediction. The chart below doesn't go nuts until 2021 hits.I meant "took off" as in ETH started the year from $130 in January 2020 and ended the year over $700 with half of that rise being after the 3000-series launch. It had been on a steady rebound with the market getting drained of nearly everything that could mine ETH long before the 3000-series launched.
well if supply is high I doubt the prices would be significantly higherJust hope the price is not significantly higher as well!!