I find it a little amusing that we've been hearing this same justification of the DoE's supercomputers for a few decades, at least. You'd think that if the first few generations of such machines were capable of answering these questions, a modern desktop with a decent dGPU should be all it takes in this day and age.
That's probably a very simplistic and ignorant take. If anyone can enlighten us on why 2 ExaFLOPS of compute power is needed for nuclear stockpile stewardship, please be my guest.
BTW, I have no doubt the big machine will get plenty of good use. I just wish they'd drop their former pretense, if that's all it is.