When - an 8c/16t 7/10nm CPU ?

[Shinra_123]

Im curious when is the soonest (year) we can expect a desktop 8c/16t CPU from either Intel or AMD @ 7nm/10nm ?


Ive read up a bit and what I found was:

- ALL of Zen/Zen+/Zen++ will be on 14nm, so AMD wont have a performance/enthusiast desktop CPU @ 7/10nm until Zens successor, which is .. 2020/2021+ ? Is this correct ?

- Cannon Lake in ~early 2018 is 10nm (?), but its only low power/mobile chips .. so then in 2019 we can expect a 4c/8t @ 10nm ? But knowing how Intel drags, a 10nm 8c/16t (Cannon Lake-X ?) would then take an additional year - so also ~2020 ?



Am I correct in any of this or not ?


Im asking because, while excited for Zen, I wont be upgrading for at least 1-1.5 more years, possibly even 2-2.5+ years .. and only to an 8c/16t .. but by then buying a 14nm CPU just seems .. wrong ? At the same time if I have to wait for 2020+ for a die shrunk 8c/16t ...

 

[Eximo]

You really shouldn't get hung up on process, what the CPU can do is more important than the size of the smallest features in a silicon process.

Broadwell is a good case in point, it basically didn't even happen, but was the first 14nm product line. There is even something be said for buying into the end of a process node, all the errata are worked out.

Your numbers are guesses, so they are as good as any. You will likely see mobile 10nm chips EOY from Intel, they tend to try and hit the holiday sales, then mid-2018 for the desktop products. I would expect the first 10nm X chips to show up the following year. Should be this year for Intel's X299 chipset.