Not really seeing where they have capitalized at Intel's expense.
Imagine Ice Lake had come on sooner, that it clocked higher, and that it could tackle the desktop. That was was supposed to happen
years ago, and the fact that it didn't bought AMD enough time to get Zen2 into the market and iron out its various launch issues.
Su is not some master technician
So, you know senior insiders at AMD, or what? Because, how else would you know?
What we
do know is that she got a Ph.D. in EE at MIT, and worked her way up through R&D. As tough as it is to get into MIT for undergrad, it's really their graduate program that's world class. Even to get in, you need to be more than just a smart cookie.
there will be a fundamental shift in the datacenter - large monolithic systems will be replaced with pools of CPU, pools of GPU, pools of FPGA. pools of Tensor/AI, pools of volatile and non volatile memories all cache coherent and connected with CXL - the various resource pools being added as needed. Only 1 company in the world that can deliver all of the above under 1 product line - and in the environment they most dominant in.
That's all a bit over-hyped, IMO. GPUs and CPUs want to be close together. Intel's big plans for Xeons with integrated FPGAs seem to have fizzled. They're losing money on Optane, and I'm not sure how competitive their NAND is, these days. Finally, I don't know if CXL is meant to work over an optical interconnect, but otherwise it's not the enabler for the disaggregation you're talking about. OmniPath was to serve that role, and it failed.
5-10 years from now, I can see you still pitching the same story as an explanation (mainly to yourself) about why Intel is gonna come roaring back,
any day now. I'm not counting Intel out, but they face more competitive headwinds than ever before, not to mention the imminent loss of the Chinese market, as well as burgeoning Chinese competitors.
Would not be surprised to see a merger between Nvidia and AMD
I would.
AMD would get an established best in breed GPU
I think they think their GPUs are finally starting to catch up. We'll have to see Arcturus and RDNA2 to know if there's any truth to that.
Nah, the Chinese are the only ones who want to get into x86, at this point. And that's just a stop-gap. x86 is the past - not the future.
Duplication of R&D efforts would be eliminated - and a potential for significant synergy. Radeon would either be spun off or shelved completely - maybe bringing in / buying out right Xilinx and there could be something (~$20B market cap).
I'm sure glad you're not in M&A.