The cost of processed wafers is public data, simple math from there. You can cut about 500 usable 100sqmm chips per 10k$ 7nm 300mm TSMC wafer, which is $20 per bare die. 4GB of GDDR6 should be about $30 (it was around $10/GB a year ago and memory prices have gone down ~20% since) and it doesn't have to be premium high-density 18Gbps either, 128bits at 14Gbps would be better for performance and not change the total PCB cost in any meaningful way. For the rest of PCB and support component costs, we're still talking the same TDPs and other figures as other slot-filler GPUs that are still selling new near the $100 mark, so little to no net change there as well.
There is no cost-driven reason for the RX6500 to cost more than $40 extra above the GT1030, $25 of which being for the 2GB extra RAM and the upgrade from G5 to G6.
I don’t agree at all, see I’ve already expected this post.
First of all you didn’t provide a source, your source is “trust me bro”, sorry not acceptable.
Secondly, even if I accept your estimations or guesses, AMD and Nvidia aren’t in the market to sell the GPU for manufacturing costs. Making and developing a GPU also costs, this will drive the price exactly to where it is today, about 180-200 bucks minimum.
Third, you don’t seem to be that well informed on the 6500XT, as reducing its bandwidth further to just 14 Gbps down from 18, would lower its performance a lot, it only has a 64 bit bus and needs that bandwidth to function properly, aside from 16MB IC and PCIE 4.0, unless you lower the graphics settings and prevent the GPU from reloading texture assets, being mandatory.
Fourth, if the user knows what he or she is doing the 6500XT is easily capable enough. It’s not “garbage” like you mentioned. But of course many people discard the card solely for its 64 bit bus without really understanding how the GPU works and not even giving it a proper chance, so very expected in a tech forum, but not a good thing nonetheless.
Anyway, I’ve already debated this topic at lengths in YouTube and other outfits, and not gonna explain everything again. So this will be my last answer, and it’s off topic anyway.
Suffice to say, you’re 100% wrong, the 6500 XT is a low margin card.