[citation][nom]Zanny[/nom]Kal'el Tegra chips are 45nm, the Wayne series after that in early 2012 will be 28nm, and I expect ~20nm by 2013. They use TSMC for both gpus and socs, while AMD is using TSMC for the radeon 7000 gpus that are on their way.ARM processors are extremely power efficient, and once you have 4 cores at 2ghz each performance on consumer grade laptops becomes a non issue. I expect by 2015 for there to be a general market of $300 - 500 ARM windows laptops with battery life in the neighborhood of a day under load, and the $1k + market will be dominated by skylake by Intel at 16nm.[/citation]
Man your info and speculation is a bit off.
For starters, skylake=14nm. Ivy bridge is 22nm already, and we have no idea about its IPC. Sandy bridge procs are going as low 35W for the DESKTOP versions and still performing really well, TDPs are going to drop way lower in the coming years. Remember, Skylake will be a new micro-architecture, and Intel's probably already has a fair idea what it can do.
For every shrink in architecture, there seems to be a drop of about 20W. So Broadwell would be running at about 60W (max), with Skymont (10nm) that comes in 2016 probably going all the way to a 40W max. Current low voltage SB procs have a 60W lower TDP than the mainstream parts, so imagine low voltage parts then to be sitting around 1-5W. Not talking about Atom procs here. I mean any -T designated desktop processor.
Couple this with a very, very high IPC, and x86 + Intel looks to stay. It's not going to be so easy for chip makers like Nvidia to move to 20nm too soon without hitting any issues, they're having trouble already with the 28nm process.
though i suspect we may finally see cheaper intel procs...