Did record low taxes lead to a greater deficit?

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The cheapest I will be paying is 16k for tuition, and 9k for housing and food.

How much did you get in private loans? Did you have collateral for the bank? The lowest rates for a private loan is 8-16 percent, some have been 24% annual. Interest builds first day. I cannot afford 100k in loans, and pay 2000 monthly interest plus taxes!

Can you live in a city on 500 dollars a month?

food
housing
health/car care

Chose one only.

What if I lose my job? Banks don't care.

I cannot start a business if I wanted to due to my debt.
 
Private loans, sitting around 10%, but once you graduate you can consolidate them with a government loan and write it off on taxes every year, even if you file a 1040EZ.

Why not live on campus? Or is it more expensive? On top of that, take out loans not secured by the government. Graduate, file Chapter 7 bankruptcy and you're only out 3 years to buy a house. Plus you'll get full credit as you filed Chapter 7 which means you can't file for 7 or 10 years, so everyone will give you any credit you need.

😀
 
Yeah, how about a more honest way please?

Living on campus is more expensive; however, they will not provide you a food plan since you are not on the university ticket.

You will have to pay food, rent, internet, cable...etc...


I wish college was not expensive!
 
College is a big gamble. You go heavily in debt and hope you get a job and are trained properly. You're also young.. first thing you do when you turn 18? Take out student loans and go into debt for an education.

Really, it is on you to shop around, find the college that will teach you what you need to know to get the degree. It might not be the school with the name you expect. There is a very big reason why so many people are doing a 2+2 path, taking their first two years at generally cheaper community colleges and then moving on to the expensive college.

That's the route I would go. I'm assuming you are a white male, so good luck getting grants and scholarships. You're SOL. :) Unless you aced your ACT and were the top of your high school class. I'm going to guess probably not as most people are not.

The college should offer labs with computers and internet. That's one expense less. Food might be cheaper on campus as well. Cable TV, do you really need it? College should have free areas to watch TV.

The question is can you make the sacrifice?

In 1999, we used to all use my friend's engineering pass to get into their computer lab since they had the best computers. We would load up Command & Conquer and play all night in there, right before the morning staff would report in. At night the labs were empty. Free computers, internet, and TV in there.

A nice little saying, "Live like no one else today, so you can live like no one else tomorrow." Meaning, make your sacrifices now and you won't have to make them later.
 


Do you have a decent 2 year institute near you? That would be way cheaper to knock out all your general classes and then get your associates, then transfer up to the 4 year for your junior and senior classes.
 
I an currently taking phy 221: Physics for Science and Engineering, Calculus I, and and Intro to Egineering class.

I am failing my Calc class and just today failed an Understanding Derivatives test with no chance of success.

I am starting to feel depresses and cannot get out of this situation. Already applied to engineering school at college of choice.
No other job will be stable enough, nor am I good/ talented at anything.

Why bother going if I will be in 100k debt scrubbing toilets at Wal-Mart for the rest of my life since that is the only thing I am good at...

🙁
 
Yeah we have a tutor center at the jr. college I am at.

Not so much as to defeated myself, it is more of, that, when my mother finds out about my grades she will berate me to no end. Hence, the wal-mart toilet scrubber comment.

This is not me throwing a pity-party, this is me being pissed to no end at myself.

I have talked to my adviser, and they said that chances are that I will have to retake both classes: Physics and Calc.

While I transfer out, the grades should be void and unaccounted for, so a fresh slate I reckon?

One of my peers, a very intelligent guy himself, said most people are slow learners and that i may be one. Hopefully, that is not the case as who wants to hire an engineer who takes time to figure out what to do...deadlines guys, deadlines. Plus, it is looked upon today that if you cannot complete a degree within a 4-5 year plan, somehow makes you a 'loser'.
 
If your mother jumps you, tell her you expect that, as you truly arent happy with how things are working out thus far.
If youre good at something, often you dont try as hard as things youre not good at.
Trying hard builds character, as well as develops success down the road
Hang tough dog
 
If you are struggling to pass classes, lower your workload: Take less classes per semester, or pair easy classes with a hard class so you can balance time spent studying. It was 4 hours per credit hour spent outside studying when I was in college. If you took 18-22 credit hours a semester, you could spent 60-90 hours a week studying. This is unrealistic since some classes will be easier than others.

You might be a block learner. Most people tend to learn in small steps, piece by piece until the whole is learned. Whereas a block learner can look at something and not understand each step. One day, everything clicks.

All that aside, take less classes and focus on it more. Sacrifice for a few years and it'll pay off for a lifetime. Study more, hit your tutoring places up. Hey, often they have good looking girls in there.

Worst case, maybe college isn't right for you right now. Seek out a 2 year degree, become a drafter, then later on seek your engineering degree.
 


Note that none of the "loopholes" were actually named, making the offer impossible to score. Minor point there.

Also note that one persons "loophole" is another persons "deduction". I'm sure that people would go ballistic if the home mortgage deduction ended up being one of the "loopholes" that was closed in the proposal.

Point being: By removing deductions, you are going to hit the middle/lower classes. By raising the rates above $250k, you don't.

Secondly: Revenue is revenue, regardless of source. Raising $800 Billion by removing deductions is the same as raising $800 Billion due to higher rates. The only difference is who the tax hits.

And for the record: Huntsman was right: Remove ALL dedutions from the code, and reduce rates significantly (probably 15% or so across the board). Tax all Income at the same rate (I'm looking at you, investments). Done.

 


Yes, lets do EXACTLY what Greece did. You make the silly assumption that reducing spending will hurt less then increasing taxes, despite the fact every time this has been attempted, the US has entered a recession:

FDR tried it in 1936. Economy promptly re-entered a recessionary period.
Carter tried it in 1978. Economy promptly entered a recessionary period.
Reagan tried in in 1981-1982. Economy promptly entered a recessionary period.

Government spending, for the most part, creates enough growth in GDP to offset the costs of the programs. For example, according to the CBO, defense spending creates ~$1.20 in GDP per dollar spent. Unemployment about ~$1.50 per dollar, and so on and so forth.

By contrast, according to the CBO, cutting taxes creates about ~$0.50 GDP per dollar spent.

Tax cuts are not economically effective, and never have been. The reason is actually very simple: For a person making $50k or so, an extra 2-3% ($1000 or so) doesn't significantly change their spending habits, or entice them to spend significantly more. That money is saved, and stuffed in a bank, producing almost no economic growth. And people in the upper income brackets already have more money then they can spend, so giving them a tax cut won't increase their spending any. As a result, all tax cuts do is drain revenue, increasing the deficit.


Finally, note the cost of cancelling a program is NOT zero. Those programs, as noted above, have an economic benefit, which you must subtract when factoring in the "cost" of a program.
 


Plenty of deductions to close for incomes above $250k. It would simply be if you made X amount, this deduction doesn't apply. Raising taxes doesn't mean increased revenues as people will find ways to avoid paying higher taxes. We see it now with many companies paying out dividends now, selling their business, selling stocks, etc. They're going to avoid paying the taxes.

I'm all for a flat tax with no deductions. You do realize that the Dems are going after the sacred cow of home mortgage interest deductions? I said years ago if that ever went away, I would walk from my house as it is no longer beneficial to keep a house for financial matters.

Revenue is not revenue. $800B raised by increasing taxes can't be guarenteed. You're going off a number based on different factors. Nor can closing loopholes guarentee the amount, but it would be far more likely to keep higher earners from decreasing their income, thus paying more by income tax. Raising income tax rates would simply mean more to write off to counter the increase. Under current tax rates, my own effective rate has been 13%. I'm in the 28% tax rate currently. I used a lot of write offs. Raise my rates, doesn't matter, I'll find a way to keep them lower. Close the loopholes and I'm SOL. Close them and reduce tax rates.. say to 20% for me and I'm ok paying taxes on that. Win-Win for both.
 


It is very simple. Raising tax rates across the board does not even dent the spending issue. Cuts HAVE to be made. Whereas in Greece too many people were dependent on the gov't and they couldn't pay out: riots happen.

Greece is what we are trying to avoid by giving too much back to a population that doesn't put enough in. We have to act in order to avoid that.

We can afford to gracefully cut spending. We have $800B in increased revenues on the board from the Republicans. Let's cut spending on a lot of unnecessary programs. Cutting it across the board wouldn't be useful.. as you said, defense spending does actually employ people, whereas entitlement spending doesn't benefit as you can never get more than 100% of that money back.

Regardless, spending cuts need to happen. How they happen should be the discussion, not raising the tax rates to generate $800 billion over 10 years. Hello, the deficit is $1.4 trillion a year! If we only raise taxes we will be having this same conversation again next year. Remember we had this same one last year about the debt ceiling?
 

I am at a CC.

What will happen is that classes that get lower than a C- will not transfer. This will be a few of my classes so I should be considered a freshmen and a half.

It looks like I may take 6 years ( 2 here at CC plus 4 at Uni) to get my BSEE. I personally think this makes me a loser and no company would hire a guy like me. I could always take my time and get my BSEE, take a few extra classes after my graduation and try to work for the college as an assistant researcher. I hear they get a good pay of 55K or more annually. And that is a 12 month paycheck as well.
 
If you're seriously doubting your ability to do the work to become an engineer, maybe you need to change fields of study. No one really cares about how you got your education, only that you got one. I promise you the path and name of your college/universities won't matter if/when you can apply those principles correctly to a job.
A degree doesn't happen over night. College is hard for a reason at that. They're going to teach you a lot of stuff and most of it will be crap for the job you'll eventually have. As I stated before, maybe you should work on being a drafter in CAD first, (2 year degree) get around some Engineers, see and learn what they do, and then go back for your degree.

It sounds like you are struggling for a reason. I doubt it is that don't understand it.. you pretty much sound self-defeating to me honestly.

As far as degree... who would hire me? My best jobs were landed with having a high school diploma. I have a 2 year degree in something, I can't even tell you the name of that degree. On my resume the last thing I list is my education. No one really cares.. at least for my job. Your job a degree with matter that you learned a lot of set principles of engineering. If a school is accredited in an engineering program, you'll be fine. Doesn't matter if it is $2k a year or $50k a year, they both follow the same program.
 
Plenty of deductions to close for incomes above $250k. It would simply be if you made X amount, this deduction doesn't apply. Raising taxes doesn't mean increased revenues as people will find ways to avoid paying higher taxes. We see it now with many companies paying out dividends now, selling their business, selling stocks, etc. They're going to avoid paying the taxes.

Not really. The problem is you screw over those that make a lot of income, but have a lot of expenses. Small business owners come to mind. So the whole "no deductions after $x" doesn't really make any sense.

Secondly, the vast majority of deductions (in terms of dollars) apply to the lower/middle classes more then to the upper classes, so you can't find enough deductions to cut to make a significant dent in the deficit.

I'm all for a flat tax with no deductions. You do realize that the Dems are going after the sacred cow of home mortgage interest deductions? I said years ago if that ever went away, I would walk from my house as it is no longer beneficial to keep a house for financial matters.

Playing devils advocate: Why should the tax code be used to try and drive economic activity? If you need the deduction to afford a house, then I would argue that housing prices are still too high.

Secondly, a flat income tax is by its nature regressive in nature. You'd essentially be raising taxes on low income workers, and lowering taxes on high income ones.

A sales tax as a REPLACEMENT for an income tax is interesting, but that also has some issues (specifically, being VERY hostile to new business startups versus established businesses). Much fairer then a flat income tax though.

Revenue is not revenue. $800B raised by increasing taxes can't be guarenteed. You're going off a number based on different factors

Nor can any tax, but assuming an economy that grows at an average rate of 2% (which is below 20th century norms), should average out over any timespan.

The income tax is actually VERY recession intolerant; unemployment = no income tax collected. Property and sales taxes handle economic swings better for the most part.

Nor can closing loopholes guarentee the amount, but it would be far more likely to keep higher earners from decreasing their income, thus paying more by income tax. Raising income tax rates would simply mean more to write off to counter the increase.

Not without new deductions.

Secondly, understand how the tax code works: the rates are MARGINAL, so every $ earned after a certain point gets taxed at a higher rate. As such, the whole "enticing people to make less money" argument is flat out wrong.


Under current tax rates, my own effective rate has been 13%. I'm in the 28% tax rate currently. I used a lot of write offs. Raise my rates, doesn't matter, I'll find a way to keep them lower. Close the loopholes and I'm SOL. Close them and reduce tax rates.. say to 20% for me and I'm ok paying taxes on that. Win-Win for both.

Thats the way it probably should be, but thats VERY unlikely to happen for political reasons. Too many deductions that help too many people.

It is very simple. Raising tax rates across the board does not even dent the spending issue. Cuts HAVE to be made. Whereas in Greece too many people were dependent on the gov't and they couldn't pay out: riots happen.

I'm sure the fact the previous government cooked the books had NOTHING to do with the problem?

Secondly, by cutting spending, you slow the economy. By doing that, you put more people out of work, and thus not paying any income tax. As a result, revenue falls, necessitating more cutting. Repeat until economic collapse. Theres a reason why Greece STILL has a deficit: Because all that cutting has flatlined tax revenue, leading to a deficit just as big as before, but with less revenue then you had at the start.

My point being: Any spending that increases GDP by at least as much as the cost of the program should NEVER be touched.

Greece is what we are trying to avoid by giving too much back to a population that doesn't put enough in. We have to act in order to avoid that.

In 2000, we had an almost balanced budget.

We implemented tax cuts that caused ~$800 Billion in yearly deficits.

We have a ~$800 Billion yearly deficit.

Conclusion: We spend too much?

Hence the silly assumption that spending, and not revenue, is the problem.

We can afford to gracefully cut spending. We have $800B in increased revenues on the board from the Republicans. Let's cut spending on a lot of unnecessary programs. Cutting it across the board wouldn't be useful.. as you said, defense spending does actually employ people, whereas entitlement spending doesn't benefit as you can never get more than 100% of that money back.

Sure you can. You ignore economic growth factors. Give a guy a house for free, and you employee the electrician, plumber, the automakers, places that sell furniture, and so on and so forth. Its called the multiplier effect. The vast majority of entitlement spending is offset by increases they produce in GDP. Again, unemployment and food stamps make about $1.50 for every $1, according to the CBO. So don't give me "entitlement spending produces nothing".

In short: put money in the poor/middle classes hands, and they spend it, producing economic growth. Give it to the wealthy instead, and watch that money get stuffed in a bank, producing nothing economically. Which is more effective?

Regardless, spending cuts need to happen. How they happen should be the discussion, not raising the tax rates to generate $800 billion over 10 years. Hello, the deficit is $1.4 trillion a year! If we only raise taxes we will be having this same conversation again next year. Remember we had this same one last year about the debt ceiling?

$1 Trillion per year as of 2010. $600-$800 Billion can be traced to the Bush tax cuts in their entirety. Another $400 billion or so can be blamed due to a decline in revenue due to the recession. Undo the Bush tax cuts, and when the economy recovers, you are back at a balanced budget without cutting a dime in spending.

Secondly, its OK to have a 2% deficit if GDP grows faster then 2%. Theres a reason why the US has had deficits almost every year of its existence. GDP growth offsets the debt. Simple example: Person A makes $100 and has a debt of $90. Person B makes $1,000,000,000,000 and has a debt of $1,000,000. Which person is in better financial shape? The dollar amount of the debt is irrelevent.


EDIT

Also, can we stop this "over 10 year" BS? Seriously, thats a political cop out if I ever saw one.
 
Ok I'm not reading all that.

Sum up, what are you saying? Spending more will fix the economy?

If you want to argue about having $800 billion in surplus around 2000 compared to today, why don't we do apples to apples: We should also have the spending we did in 2000, inflated of course, as opposed to the current spending levels. Our surplus would be well over $1 trillion a year with tax cuts.

Edit: It is clear you don't fully understand what the GDP means. The US can keep printing more and more money to make the GDP stay consistent. GDP is a very high level economic indicator when everything is held constant; when the gov't interferes, that number really doesn't mean much.
 
Im glad gamerk316 posted, its refreshing to hear other voices in these politically charged threads. It would be cool to hear your two cents on more topics because I thought your post was well put together and raised some interesting points.

Let me sum up risers retort.

tl;dr you dont know what you are talking about.
 
You can't compare 2000 tax surplus against 2010 deficits and argue tax cuts were the cause. You fail to recognize the huge increase in spending.

His math is faulty and his statements are skipping significant parts. In 2000 we may have nearly had a balanced budget but he leaves out the recession GW Bush inherited with the Dot Com bubble. That was significant. How did that get fixed? The tax cuts within a year or two quickly fixed that issue. That "revenue" was lost regardless because of the economy. Things stabilized. 9/11 hit, economy was hurt again for a few long months. It recovered.

Housing market hit again starting in 2006/2006. Economy is hurting again.

The tax cuts helped, they didn't hurt revenue. Spending more doesn't fix the issue. Can we not realize that after 4 years of increased spending at previously unknown levels that it has not fixed anything?

The old argument was that GW Bush was a big spending. His spending PALES in comparison to Obama's. Bush's last year the Federal Deficit was ~$490 billion. 4 years later the Federal Deficit is over $1 trillion.

Taxes haven't changed in how many years? Why is the deficit going up? By his words the deficit should be going down.

What I don't get:

Taxes are the same as 4 years ago when the the deficit was $490 billion.
Revenue has gone up from 4.67 trillion to 5.13 trillion (2008 to 2012)

Deficit has gone from $490 billion to over $1 trillion.

How is that not a spending issue? Revenue is increasing, taxes are the same.. Hmm.

Oh, how about the additional $1.6 trillion the Democrats are trying to push through for 2013 stimulus spending? Hello. Spending issue. Not a tax issue.
 
More numbers, Federal Revenue:

Tax revenue for 2000: $2.03 Trillion (Dot com crash, recession)
Tax revenue for 2001: $1.99 " (9/11)
Tax revenue for 2002: $1.85 "
Tax revenue for 2003: $1.78 "
Tax revenue for 2004: $1.88 "
Tax revenue for 2005: $2.15 "
Tax revenue for 2006: $2.41 " (Housing Market collapse)
Tax revenue for 2007: $2.57 "
Tax revenue for 2008: $2.52 " (stimulus spending)
Tax revenue for 2009: $2.10 "
Tax revenue for 2010: $2.16 "
Tax revenue for 2011: $2.30 "
Tax revenue for 2012: $2.47

Please point out the negative impact of the Bush tax cuts per US Gov't revenue. I would argue that the greatest growth in revenue occurred because of the tax cuts, even with the Dot Com bubble, the Housing crisis, Katrina, 9/11, and the economic impact from the Tsunami.

Notice the significant decrease in revenue when the government starts spending more? If you took a world economic class inc ollege, they would teach you that the more the government spends, the less money the people make/spend. What proof? Look at Japan and their "Lost Decade." 10 years of increased government spending. When the government couldn't spend and had to significant cut spending, their economy recovered that very year. 10 years of watching increased spending.. and then when they can't spend, it fixed itself. That is the proof.
 
The argument that people just save their money doesnt fly either.
For ever since I can remember, everyone always says Americans never save, or put asside enough money.
Well, if they dont save it, then it gets spent, and what exactly does this do?
I will leave that to each of us.
Further, with obvious concerns about small business, deductions and tax cuts does exactly what concerning such small business?
Again, I will leave this up to all of us to figure that out.
If however, you fail to grasp the larger picture, theres really not much that can be said
 
Economics is mostly theory...I think?

If the velocity of money is low, the economy is not as active.
If the velocity of money is high, the economy is highly active.

However, there are inverses with these ideas.

If the velocity of money is low, then there is a chance that consumers are saving more.
If the velocity of money is high, it means consumers are saving less.

Now just because consumers are spending less does not mean they are saving more. Same truth holds for the opposite.

This could mean that a market where demand is not driving consumer spending because the current supply is not there or not attractive enough for consumers.

This is where I see the US economy as of now. There is demand for jobs, but there is no supply attractive enough to meet the demands. So, businesses do not supply those positions.

However, we could change that as of now.

If we allow a psychological investment trick for business, then there my be incentive to come back to the US, (I speak for manufacturing of course.)

Raise the tax rate on all units: Income, payroll, capital gains.

Then, create an incentives program, where the US government will deduct your tax liabilities for every % of your money you invest in the US economy, and the US economy only. If we apply a negative reinforcement on investments and spending, we will see less of a supply of income for the US economy and lower revenue for the federal system.

I say we let the Bush tax cuts expire on those who are in the upper brackets, ( I cannot say who as I am not an expert on tax law or information). Give them this incentive to invest in the US economy, along with optional state funding of programs like Universities and colleges.

Stop the Federal Reserve form buying treasury notes. Some of us want to invest in low risk deals!

We must not push the 'rich' into a corner and force them to give out their cash, but we must not let them sit idle with piles of cash they could spend on the United States and get the economy going. Give them a reason to invest, not a reason to leave and hide their cash in the Bermuda's.

This is both a liberal and conservative approach to a new tax deal we could experiment.

My $0.02
 
Theres growth
Say you own land, and within that land are trees or minerals.
This gives your land a higher value, but once its removed, the value increases per implementation.
So, an ever groing pie.
Government neednt keep pace with this growth, only in times of need.
There is much fat which has accrued over the years, when it didnt need to grow as it did, and creates an unbalanced share of the pie, and those who say the pie will grow into it are the ones liking large government.
 
I listed Federal Government Revenue. I want someone to point out where the $800 billion deficit is in those numbers.. on top of the increased in revenue over the 12 years. How can revenue go up and the deficit remain the same?! At best I see a $300 billion net loss at one point, ending up with 2012 still $100 billion less than the highest revenue to date.

Don't let facts get in the way of opinions though. :)