If AMD hadn't gutted their balance sheet to buy ATI and expand capacity they wouldn't be in trouble now. They chose to overextend themselves at the very moment that Intel finally came back and retook the lead. Very stupid indeed.
30% market share at any cost? That cost may well be chapter 11.
People on various forums, this one and others, have commented that the buy out of ATI and build out CapEx may not be a wise idea.....
I don't see Intel letting up the pressure. Intel pretty much discounted AMD as a competitor for many years, 2005 (Q4) through 2006 (Q2) stung enough that it appears they are not going to show any mercy.
These prices, building out F11x (Intel's largest 300 mm fab) for 45 nm, ramping a new 45 nm fab in Az, and one in Israel --- they will blow by AMD with volume and price....
This is indeed getting scary. They certainly came out swinging, and the pricing may be an attempt at a knock out blow....
Jack
If Intel did indeed aim specifically at knocking AMD out of contention, and lowered their profits for a couple of years to do it, and things went badly enough for AMD, and the OEMs didn't decide to keep AMD alive (a lot of ifs, but let's imagine for a moment)....then would the rest of the world be satisfied to let such an important technolgy go without competition?
I think it's highly likely the response would be some "strategic initiatives" by some rich players (governments), willing to invest for the long run. China has already given some signals it would like to make commercial airplanes (!) someday. Why not bring in engineers from Taiwan, Austin, etc., and put in $50-$100B over 5 years to create real competition for Intel.
I think actually it's a lot better for Intel to have AMD around. Just like it's better for Sun and HP, and Dell to have AMD around.