With an OC'd CPU, there's no way to say definitively based on that info alone.
OC's are not linear, so ~15% OC will likely result in a minimum 25-30% TDP increase....potentially more.
So, yeah, 125W probably is in the right ballpark.
Generally speaking, there's minimal headroom on any 1050TI - especially ones that have a decent factory OC.
A modest clocked 1050TI may have 6-7% OCing headroom, but that's the best I've seen achieved in normal conditions on a 'stock' (from the factory) GPU.