IBM's Supercomputer Beats Humans at Jeopardy

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[citation][nom]dogman_1234[/nom]Takes the fun out of the game. Everyone hates a know-it-all![/citation]
In a game, maybe yes, it depends on personality.
Now when you go to you doctor cause you are sick, i'm pretty sure you wont hate a know-it-all medic would you now?!
 
so we squeeze Watson hardware down to 30-60 watt range and you have the same out put of the human brain doing conscious thought only. all of its unconscious is programing on the and ssd or hdd and core logic. which would have to able to stick in the same 30-60 watt range if it were to compete watt for watt machine vs human. human still victor even know it would woop my ass in jeopardy lol
 
[citation][nom]jamessneed[/nom]@nuclearshadow, you do realize it has to analyze speach for puns and weird ways things are said. The speach recognition to understand what is meant is quite impressive to me at least.[/citation]

I doubt its that advanced to be honest any situations that it answers correctly in such cases (and not based on luck) are likely pre-programed in. Also weird ways of saying things would not be a problem as it can
take keywords and if it has to compare those words to make similar words.
This isn't really anything amazing. Does Watson perform this task the best? Absolutely and I will gladly give it that its unmatched but the concept itself is sort of lacking.
And your rant on emotions "If Jake broke up with Jill what are likely emotions Jill would feel?" You do realize that if it can understand the meaning of the speach it would understand this meant they were dating and thus would be able to deduce there are 48 posible emotions to choose from and like us it could swag the most likey and like humans it would probably get it wrong.
Click to expand...

I truly doubt this. I am willing to bet that it simply answers questions its already geared to know. Also making the very game it won "fixed" in a way. So asking it a random question that does not involve prior knowledge that it would normally be able to just search its database for.
Does it understand speech? Certainly to a great degree but I doubt its capable of actually coming up with its own conclusions through its own research into the question. So in the previous question I am sure it would not answer correctly. What it however can do is answer through what it already knows.

So as another example if I were to ask it. "How do you think Karen and Zoey will feel when I fire them because they didn't realize I found out they are having a office affair and that is against company policy?"

Yeah I just don't see it answering that in any reasonable manner.






Poor Zoey she was a hard working and sweet girl too.
 
RE:
> icepick314 01/17/2011 2:56 PM
> wtf, man!!!!
>
> telling the result before the show's airing a MONTH AWAY!!!!
>
> put up a FREAKIN' spoiler alert or something!!!!!!!
If you are referring to the Watson $4400, Ken $3400, Brad $1200
game, that was a trial game, held the day before the real game.

I don't think the result of the real game was is in this Toms Hardware
article or the link I give below.

See:
http://www.lohud.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=2011101140338
> The man versus machine "Jeopardy!" competition will air Feb. 14-16,
> with the two full matches being filmed today in Yorktown.
Dateline on the article is January 14, meaning the trial run was January 13
and the "two full matches" were done on January 15. I don't know
why two matches will take 3 days to air.
 
watson can listen and understand human speech and talk too. very impressive.
they should make a video of watson talking to a 5 year old. wonder where the
conversation would lead to.
 
[citation][nom]superstar4410[/nom]I like ur comment jj43rd about politcians being replaced by computers.Loll, interesting my friend. have super computers process all the data from districts look at all the economy , social, environmental impacts and pass the best laws based on whats best for the country.[/citation]
Sounds like the computers in one of Isaac Asimov's short stories.
 
[citation][nom]cmartin011[/nom]so we squeeze Watson hardware down to 30-60 watt range and you have the same out put of the human brain doing conscious thought only. all of its unconscious is programing on the and ssd or hdd and core logic. which would have to able to stick in the same 30-60 watt range if it were to compete watt for watt machine vs human. human still victor even know it would woop my ass in jeopardy lol[/citation]

It's taken 25 years to program my brain to be able to perform as it does today. does that not count as prior, or unconscious programming? Also, watt for watt we would be destroyed. Thing about an atom platform, 4G of ram and however many RAID SSD's could be fit in under 50W. It would be a massacre if it were programmed correctly.
 
I don't get what they are showing here, computers are better at memorizing than humans? because it can click first, and in the time when we are expecting an answer from a normal person it can search it's database and find the answer, phrase it as a question its somewhat impressive but its like putting my rustbucket car up against a drag racer to show that its faster, you still can't drive it around town and get to work with it.
 
It's impressive that a computer can do this (even though it needs a billion Ghz and TB of ram), but putting it on Jeopardy is a novelty more than anything else. Brad or Ken combined can probably answer every question but the computer has the advantage of being able to push the button a millisecond after Alex finishes asking it.

I'm sure in 50 years people will be laughing at this thing and thinking "my cell phone could do that 10 years ago".
 
Why the hell would Tom's spoil it with no warning? Some of us were looking forward to watching that match up without knowing beforehand. Thanks a lot.
 
The incredible part of this is not that it knew all the answers, but rather that it knew how to interpret the clues and perform the search through its data store properly. This is a good step toward the voice interface for computers like we saw in Start Trek the Next Generation. I'd love to see that happen. I want that for my computer at home.

Me: (walking in the door after work) "Computer do I have email?"
Computer: "Yes, 2 pieces of spam and a message from your sister. your sister asks if you're coming to her place for your birthday next week."
Me: "Delete the spam and drop my sister a message telling her I will be there if she makes brownies."
Computer: "Ok, Dan. This is done. Should I start World of Warcraft for you so it is ready when you get your dinner ready to eat?"
Me: "Yes, computer, I'm in the mood for healing an instance run tonight. Get me logged in under Eloi and put me in the queue."
Computer: "It will be ready shortly."

I'd love to have my life like that. :)
 
So we're at 4GB to 8GB today for most consumers using X nm lithography (for RAM).

If you double that 11 times, you'll reach 16,384 GB (or 16 TB), which also happens to be the ceiling for memory allocation in Java under x64 Kernel based Operating Systems.

To do this we only need to 'chip away' just under 30% of each axis. (0.7 times 0.7 = 0.49 = double the transistor density per layer).

At certain points in production you could increase the number of layers and keep it affordable.

So in about 198 months (or 16.5 years) this kind of hardware become the norm within a 'desktop' personal computer.

That puts it squarely around the second half of 2027.

Hopefully the software will have improved significantly within the next 15 to 20 years!
 
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