[citation][nom]jsowoc[/nom]I don't know how we got into this stats discussion. The formula "reduces" to adding the probabilities for small probabilities.P(HDD fail) = 0.1%. P(SSD fail) = 0.1%.P(HDD fail) || P(SSD fail) given P(HDD not fail) = 0.1% + 0.999*0.1% = 0.1999%.willard, are you happy that it's not exactly 0.2%?[/citation]
*Disclaimer* I just learned that I'm receiving a promotion, so I'm celebrating and a little drunk. */Disclaimer*
Sorry if I offended you, but I'm a stickler for correctness, and somebody telling me I'm wrong and citing math that not only do they not understand but is patently false to anyone who's had even the most basic statistics course bothers me.
As for how we got into a statistics discussion, this is why.
When you're dealing with an either/or scenario, probabilities are actually additive; P (drive 1 or 2 failing) + P (drive 1 and 2 failing) = P (drive 1 failing) + P (drive 2 failing).
The fact that the end result is negligibly close with small probabilities doesn't make this statement any more correct. Furthermore, he backtracked later and posted
another formula that was also incorrect, at the same time flatly ignoring a disproof by contradiction in the post he responded to.
I can be a bit abrasive at times, but my rigid adherence to facts and correctness makes me invaluable in my field (software engineering). I've stepped on more than a few toes in the workplace by calling people out for poor design practices, but ultimately the product improves as a result. Professionals don't hold grudges, and anybody whose ego I wound quickly gets over it in the interest of simply getting on with things.
I do damn good work, and despite my occasional interpersonal issues, I am a highly valued member of the team and have never failed to beat the average annual raise and bonus. Despite what you may expect from such behavior, I'm actually good friends with a lot of my coworkers. We're all adults, and understand that matters of correctness aren't personal. When I'm wrong (like I was in this thread about Sakkura's use of orders of magnitude) I simply politely admit my wrongness and get on with things. To me, it's not a big deal.
On the internet I might be an asshole, but in college I was the guy who could fix your project the night before it was due. In the workplace I'm the guy they turn to when the hard requirements come in. My mindset allows me to pick up new programming languages in a matter of hours for use in professional development environments, and I've done precisely that on more than one occasion. I spend the vast majority of my time on Tom's Hardware helping people with their computer problems (feel free to look through my thousands of posts). In general I'm a very nice guy, but I'm not one to shy away from confrontation either.
Not everyone likes me, but I'm not so vain that I treat life as a popularity contest. My friends like me, even if not everyone at work does, but I'll be damned if my coworkers don't
respect me. To me, the respect of my peers is more important than their friendship.
It's easy to be everyone's friend. It's much harder to earn their respect.