A 4xxx series IGP would most likely come in under 200nm2 at 45nm, or small enough.
LRB so far appears to be chugging along, and its strength may not be seen with the first release. Itll do both , rendering and a crunching monster, looks to do well, as theres no latency hiding, other than in one area, and it scales extremely well, and is why the 32nm node will make it a success, while at 45nm, itll struggle to compete highend anyways. Its said to need at least 64 cores to truly be able to show its stuff, and a 64 core at 45nm is I believe too high in power usage for what Intel is trying to do, thus 32nm looks like the true answer