Why do you assume they will surpass the West? While the rise of semiconductor fabs in Korea and Taiwan have been truly impressive, most of the fundamental hardware & software involved in semiconductor design & manufacturing still comes from western companies. Western CPU designs still remain unsurpassed.
They've published roadmaps, if you really want to know. It's nothing mind-blowing, from what I recall.
Sanctions are a short-to-medium -term tool. In the long-term, they were on track to have a competitive domestic industry, either way. The sanctions should be used as leverage. It's not clear to me what's the gameplan, but I sure hope there's something besides the sanctions, themselves.
China is actually very competitive, in Quantum Computing. It's a lot easier to take the lead in a new field, than to become competitive in an established one.
Also, quantum computers aren't a direct replacement for classical computers, in most cases. The two technologies are complementary, and will exist side-by-side for the foreseeable future.
korea and japan are smaller than china and are part of the west
Of course western design remain unsurpassed but china should not be confused with korea. That's a huge contry, a huge market. Korea built its technology with western tools. Japan's toshiba was attacked by us tech in the 80's
China is different. It doesn't not seek to be a big korea, it does seek to buid independant ecosystem and that more difficult than producing the end product. I don't think they do it to annoy west, they first want to avoid being blocked by sanctions and gain autonomy. On chinese media, (tech media at least), there is no anti american mood, they are just anxious in producing their own tools (there are many forums that can be read but a translator)
let's not forget, a big part of californian big tech executive are from asian descent (indian or chineese ethnicaly). They have high IQ's . It only a matter of time until they become independant (totally i mean)
that doesn't mean us decline, i don't think so. If us don't loose it's dna (and on top of it its great constitution, freedom and granted property), it can still attracts many talents from all the world (just like steve jobs was from a syrian father. I think one of the X86 conceptor is from iran)
I see many evidence china is rising, but usa isn't declining neither. It all depends on inside, not outside.
As a foreigner, usa is still a dream country for me to visit, just as much as i have great respect for american people, culture and their great constitution. I just don't want to hate others because they do well.
So i do believe us will remain a great power. I do believe China too and i believe in the next decades given all the humanity has to face, those two great countries need to work together
China don't hide from saying their took inspiration from many us aspects, first of all, the classical us capitalism found in china's special economic zones. In their mindset, Chineese are merchants not socialists.
they accept bankrupcy
The private sector in china accounts for 70 % of gdp. That's more liberal capitalisme than many european countries