NYTimes has a good piece on the winners & losers of the ongoing OpenAI fiasco (disable Javascript if necessary to view):
It is hard to see the past few days as anything but a big loss for the A.I. company.
nytimes.com
It's a dramatic development from the tension between the "fast AI progress" and "safe AI" camps. It draws attention to OpenAI's unique governing structure that ultimately fails under stress, with the two sides coming to an irrevocable split.
I praise MS CEO Nadella for his quick thinking in turning a fiasco into an opportunity. If the event unfolds as expected, and MS hires the bulk of defecting OpenAI employees under its newly-formed Advanced AI subsidiary, MS will be an AI powerhouse to contend with.
For Windows users, which many here are, the impact will not be immediately felt, but IMO, MS will likely leverage its new-found talent to deploy AI tech even more aggressively on the one major platform that it controls. I can imagine both positive and negative implications from this.
As an investor, I do feel for those who have invested in OpenAI, as they are the biggest loser in this. If the bulk of OpenAI employees defect, the company will be a shell of its self, and the investors will effectively lose most of their money. And the upshot is, there is nobody to blame. It's a freak event that no one would have anticipated.
Edit: Stratechery has a good impromptu analysis of the development. One comment stuck out for me:
"...you can make the case that Microsoft just acquired OpenAI for $0 and zero risk of an antitrust lawsuit." MS is undoubtely the biggest winner in this.
The end of a dramatic weekend in tech is that OpenAI has split and Microsoft is partnered with one and has hired the other; this is the ultimate failure case of what should have been a for-profit c…
stratechery.com