[citation][nom]willard[/nom]Petabyte SSDs are probably never happening with current technology, for exactly the reasons you state. We'd need to increase the storage amount per cell pretty dramatically, and there are already problems with MLC drives compared to SLC.Magnetic disks, however, may well reach that capacity. There are some interesting technologies on the horizon, which I can't remember exactly what are called, but promise to greatly increase storage density on magnetic disks. Using lasers to heat up the platter before reading and writing to be able to manipulate smaller portions of the platter, for example.Assuming Moore's Law holds for magnetic disk storage density (and I have no idea if it's even holding now), we'd need to go from 3TB to 1000TB, ignoring the fact that current drives aren't really 3TB and 1000TB isn't really a PB. That's about eight and a half cycles, for lack of a better word, of Moore's Law. With each one being 18 months long, and rounding up to 9 cycles, we'd be looking at 1PB HDDs in 2Q 2025.There are a LOT of ifs involved, though. Honestly, I'd be surprised if magnetic disks were still in use in mainstream applications in 2025. We'll probably be eyeing the successor to SSDs by then.[/citation]
well heat assisted is only going to help so much, and its estimated to be about 10-20 times, somewhere around there. im not sure if that also includes making the head better or not or if thats with current stuff.
but an ssd, thats honestly far more likely, because the process to make them 3d should be somewhere around the corner, increasing the size exponentially without increasing the physical size my much if anything at all. and if the 3d process can be done significantly faster than 2 single layer wafers, that size increase will come at very little end user cost. i really doubt that we will see hdds get much bigger than 100tb, unless a new method of making them id found, or a way to make them take up less ecc space.