Question What's the likelihood that Prime day will have a better deal than these two choices now for a RTX 4050 laptop ?

[acoolrocket]

So for context before the inevitable "wait for the day", we're traveling to meet cousins hence we have the option to Prime day ship it next day, but we're leaving on July 19th in the morning so if I were to order a laptop on July 16th it can be cutting it very close to expect max 2 days shipping with Prime (although cousins live near Maywood in Chicago so nothing super rural/outback) hence my faith in just getting say the HP Omen physically from a Microcenter to not have to deal with potential shipping problems/delays. And if the deal is already amazing enough and Prime day won't have anything as cheap potentially.