Question Will SSD prices drop again?

universalrule

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Jul 3, 2023
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SSD prices have risen dramatically recently. Especially since Black Friday.
Many news outlets are predicting a big increase in SSD prices this year, with some saying it's a temporary bubble.
What's your opinion?
 
I have no idea what the future holds but I wouldn't be surprised if prices go/stay high for a while. I feel like storage prices stagnated for much of the last decade+. It seems like hard drive prices never dropped at the same rate as they did before the flood. SSD prices have had periods where they barely move, or even go up, and others where they drop considerably. I don't know what's going to happen in the near future but I kind of regret not buying a few extra drives last year.

It is the old supply and demand ploy. The companies will be holding back supply thus creating a fake shortage of SSD's. The result is self-explanatory.

My understanding is they cut production, which isn't exactly the same as holding back supply, not that I'm trying to defend them.
 
NAND was basically far too cheap last year according to any analysis I've seen, resulting in companies posting big multi billion dollar losses, reducing supply and laying off staff. If prices don't rise it's not worth them making the stuff.

Even if drive prices go up 50% on what they are now, they'll still be way below what they were for the same models a year and a half ago, in some cases at least. I'd say the sale prices a couple of months ago were unnatural lows, rather than the incoming being a temporary bubble.

It is the old supply and demand ploy. The companies will be holding back supply thus creating a fake shortage of SSD's. The result is self-explanatory.
Calling supply and demand a "ploy" is a bit like talking about it being "the old gravity ploy" when you drop something and it breaks. 'Just price' for everything is very much a medieval concept, when they understood economics about as well as gravity.
 
Even if drive prices go up 50% on what they are now, they'll still be way below what they were for the same models a year and a half ago, in some cases at least. I'd say the sale prices a couple of months ago were unnatural lows, rather than the incoming being a temporary bubble.

Cheap SATA drives have already shot up 50-75%. For instance, 2TB drives that had dropped to nearly $60 are now a little over $100. The higher end SATA drives (Crucial MX500 and Samsung 870 EVO) haven't risen quite as much yet.
 
I have no idea what the future holds but I wouldn't be surprised if prices go/stay high for a while. I feel like storage prices stagnated for much of the last decade+. It seems like hard drive prices never dropped at the same rate as they did before the flood. SSD prices have had periods where they barely move, or even go up, and others where they drop considerably. I don't know what's going to happen in the near future but I kind of regret not buying a few extra drives last year.



My understanding is they cut production, which isn't exactly the same as holding back supply, not that I'm trying to defend them.
Yes they are cutting back production, by choice, which is the same as holding back supply, to me.
 
for price action, it's all by a supply chain circle. months of delay between chip change at the factory and what is available on the shelf. so yeah, price go up. those gen 6-7.. fast chip will not sell less either.