From the specs and comparing the Core 2 over Core increase, I would say that Barcelona will be 80% faster than Opteron. I think that will propel them ahead because of HT and Direct Connect.
But then I think that a slow FSB will cause a swapping bottleneck so what do I know.
You truly expect to see an 80% performance increase in real world? Perhaps is a (very) few optimized applications, but there is no way the real world average increase is 80%. In terms of Core to Core 2, it was a major architecture shift yet the real world average performance increase is really only in the order to 20%.
My feeling is that K8L will definitely be stronger in its traditional pure FP field, it may have a small lead in SSE, but Core 2 will still have a slight lead in integer calculations. Overall, K8L will probably be 10-15% faster than Core 2, which means it's all down to final implementation, software optimization, and clock speeds. Obviously, if K8L really brings a Earth changing 80% increase I'm not going to complain, but I'm going to be a bit more realistic if not pessimistic for now.
In terms of 4x4, I'm really disappointed. The use of Socket F implies it's just a Opteron knock-off and also implies the use of registered DIMMs which is terrible. High latencies, lower bandwidth. The high 125W TDP also places a 2 processor 4x4 system much higher in terms of heat and power than Kentsfield. Also a clocking of 3GHz also isn't impressive against Kentsfield. A 2.67GHz Conroe can already hold it's own and generally lead a 3GHz FX. A 2.67GHz Kentsfield may not have perfect scaling to 4 cores, but the inherent strength of even just 2 of its cores will make it difficult for 4x4 to catch up. We'll have to see if dedicate memory through IMCs, and dedicated communications links through HT, in otherwords AMD's superior platform, can really make up the difference.
The speed increase is the word from AMD and like I said the specs seem to bear it out. As far as 4x4, I don't care which socket but they have to let it use nonECC as that is a MAJOR expense.
I don't see this being a watered down Opteron, because that would definitely make product differentiation more difficult. What I want is two sockets with NO ECC, NO SCSI 320, NO PCI-X, NO SODIMMS.
That would differentiate perfectly as mission critical thinsg want the reliability of SCSi and data protection of ECC.
As a dev, I just need a fast box with lots of RAM. I posted a link to voodoopc.blogspot where I suggested that to the CEO in March.
Anyway, enthusiasts will buy it no matter the power use. I figure I could get two FX 7000 and one 7900GTX and that would be like getting one FX62 and QUAD SLI power-wise.
I think it will be close for Kentsfield because AMD already extracts more bandwidth so this may allow them to use more of it. I think when mem usage is low Kentsfield will win but when you load past physical RAM, then 4x4 will more than likely outshine it because of the FSB.
PS
I load more than 2GB RAM at times and I need something that won't choke. When I go over to Server 2003 x64, I will load it even more. i hope that the FSB won't cause problems when overloading the physical RAm but FSB is uni-directional IIRC and for 4x4 disk IO will go over the South Bridge and memory IO won't. That may turn out to be huge.
At least for us megataskers.
