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Archived from groups: comp.sys.ibm.pc.hardware.chips (More info?)
YKhan wrote:
> Robert Myers wrote:
> > If Intel did its homework right, it should have been able to design
> > volume incentives that would be legal and that would insure that Intel
> > product is first out the door. You just make the volume target high
> > enough that the vendor really _has_ to push Intel chips.
>
> Well, there's the problem with free and fair market-driven economics.
> If Intel made its volume targets too high, AMD would have to simply
> compete by offering the same discounts at lower volumes. Then Intel
> would have to retaliate by lowering its volume targets too. Then AMD
> would lower its targets farther, etc. Very messy and inconvenient. At
> least with monopoly market economics, you can simply tell your
> customers to take it or leave it.
>
Here's how it works: Sales up to a certain point are at some price
that is okay. At that price, Intel's customers can resell, but
probably not make a profit. If they want to make a profit, they have
to sell above the volume quota, where the price is *so* attractive that
AMD simply cannot compete. As long as Intel hits its target average
selling price, it is happy to have those low price sales above the
volume quota.
> > That will
> > naturally lead to aggressive discounting, especially on big orders,
> > like racks and racks of Xeon for a "supercomputer." Then, customers
> > who might have liked to have had hypertransport and the onboard memory
> > controller will be just as happy with Xeons, which do hit very decent
> > SpecFP scores.
>
> Except for the fact that AMD could just as easily match those
> discounts, and then those people who wanted Direct Connect Architecture
> could still have it.
>
AMD can't match Intel on price, and it controls less of the product
than does Intel, which sells everything but the case. For those
*really* big sales, Intel can do things that no one else in the
business can do because its margins are so high and because it controls
so much of the product.
> > Intel's marketing savvy impresses me much more than the execution
> > they've displayed recently. That Intel can stumble so badly
> > technically and _still_ dominate the market should tell you something.
>
> Oh yeah, it is telling us something, definitely. Guess what it tells
> us? 🙂
>
I think we know what you think the answer is. I'll be interested to
see what comes out of this. Mush, probably.
> > As to AMD proving its case, I'll believe it when I see it.
>
> John C. Dvorak thinks that this may be the most entertaining anti-trust
> case ever. AMD is definitely going for a court of public opinion
> verdict more than anything. It's demanded a jury for the trial. Also
> it's made its legal brief readable in English rather than in
> Lawyer-ian; and it reads more like a series of stories. No doubt these
> are as a result of the PR firm that it's hired.
>
> John Dvorak's Second Opinion: The motives behind AMD's suit against
> Intel - Computer Hardware - Computer Software - Software - Opinion
> http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?g=E447CED9F4C54384AF915BCB4F39C788&siteid=mktw&dist=nbk
>
Well, I read the complaint. AMD accuses Intel of using the exact
strategy I proposed:
"Intel intentionally sets a rebate trigger at a level of purchases
it knows to constitute a dominant percentage of a customer's needs.
It is able to develop discriminatory, customer-by-customer unit or
dollar targets that lock that percentage (without ever referencing it)
because industry publications accurately forecast and track anticipated
sales and because OEM market shares - which industry publications
also report weekly,
monthly and quarterly - do not change significantly quarter to
quarter."
What a surprise. Those who are really interested might find out quite
a good deal about competitive pricing strategies. Most just aren't
going to be that interested.
RM
YKhan wrote:
> Robert Myers wrote:
> > If Intel did its homework right, it should have been able to design
> > volume incentives that would be legal and that would insure that Intel
> > product is first out the door. You just make the volume target high
> > enough that the vendor really _has_ to push Intel chips.
>
> Well, there's the problem with free and fair market-driven economics.
> If Intel made its volume targets too high, AMD would have to simply
> compete by offering the same discounts at lower volumes. Then Intel
> would have to retaliate by lowering its volume targets too. Then AMD
> would lower its targets farther, etc. Very messy and inconvenient. At
> least with monopoly market economics, you can simply tell your
> customers to take it or leave it.
>
Here's how it works: Sales up to a certain point are at some price
that is okay. At that price, Intel's customers can resell, but
probably not make a profit. If they want to make a profit, they have
to sell above the volume quota, where the price is *so* attractive that
AMD simply cannot compete. As long as Intel hits its target average
selling price, it is happy to have those low price sales above the
volume quota.
> > That will
> > naturally lead to aggressive discounting, especially on big orders,
> > like racks and racks of Xeon for a "supercomputer." Then, customers
> > who might have liked to have had hypertransport and the onboard memory
> > controller will be just as happy with Xeons, which do hit very decent
> > SpecFP scores.
>
> Except for the fact that AMD could just as easily match those
> discounts, and then those people who wanted Direct Connect Architecture
> could still have it.
>
AMD can't match Intel on price, and it controls less of the product
than does Intel, which sells everything but the case. For those
*really* big sales, Intel can do things that no one else in the
business can do because its margins are so high and because it controls
so much of the product.
> > Intel's marketing savvy impresses me much more than the execution
> > they've displayed recently. That Intel can stumble so badly
> > technically and _still_ dominate the market should tell you something.
>
> Oh yeah, it is telling us something, definitely. Guess what it tells
> us? 🙂
>
I think we know what you think the answer is. I'll be interested to
see what comes out of this. Mush, probably.
> > As to AMD proving its case, I'll believe it when I see it.
>
> John C. Dvorak thinks that this may be the most entertaining anti-trust
> case ever. AMD is definitely going for a court of public opinion
> verdict more than anything. It's demanded a jury for the trial. Also
> it's made its legal brief readable in English rather than in
> Lawyer-ian; and it reads more like a series of stories. No doubt these
> are as a result of the PR firm that it's hired.
>
> John Dvorak's Second Opinion: The motives behind AMD's suit against
> Intel - Computer Hardware - Computer Software - Software - Opinion
> http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?g=E447CED9F4C54384AF915BCB4F39C788&siteid=mktw&dist=nbk
>
Well, I read the complaint. AMD accuses Intel of using the exact
strategy I proposed:
"Intel intentionally sets a rebate trigger at a level of purchases
it knows to constitute a dominant percentage of a customer's needs.
It is able to develop discriminatory, customer-by-customer unit or
dollar targets that lock that percentage (without ever referencing it)
because industry publications accurately forecast and track anticipated
sales and because OEM market shares - which industry publications
also report weekly,
monthly and quarterly - do not change significantly quarter to
quarter."
What a surprise. Those who are really interested might find out quite
a good deal about competitive pricing strategies. Most just aren't
going to be that interested.
RM