haswell or piledriver

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Solution
If you are planning to upgrade later on, Piledriver is in an architecture AMD is committed to until 2015 (AM3+ socket) and that socket will get Steamroller and eventually Excavator, if you go with something by intel, Haswell will be their new architecture so they will commit to that for at least 2 years.

If money is at all something you're concerned about, go with AMD, for the money you would spend on an intel system, a comparably built AMD system will have more processor and more GPU for the same money...

Also, PS4 and XBOX 720 are all running AMD hardware in their consoles, so future games will be optimized for AMD architecture anyway.


Your words "pure speculation" and "there's little evidence" seemed to point to the contrary...



Your entire post was about future gaming, wasn't? And I replied to that. If you want to discuss now current games and older games then I will repeat that I write often:

On average:
Older games --> i5
Current games --> FX or i5
Modern games --> FX.
 


AMD's modular architecture should see performance gains here because games will know how to treat it.
Since the hardware inside the consoles has more than 4 cores, games will most likely be optimized to take advantage of that huge parallelism, which in turn favors AMD's architecture again, since the game logic would be very easy to deal with from an AMD CPU's perspective.
Intel would have to run more stuff on less cores for that matter -they do have a higher single-threaded performance, but that's not key in future games anymore - the key is to make them take advantage of as many cores as possible.
Go check system requirements for upcoming games and you'll see what I'm talking about.

 


Eurogamer run a poll among triple-A game developers and all them selected an AMD FX-8350 chip as "the best way to future-proof a games PC built in the here and now."

http://www.eurogamer.net/articles/digitalfoundry-future-proofing-your-pc-for-next-gen