News Intel allegedly plans imminent lay off of thousands of employees: Report

bit_user

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My condolences to all affected by this move. Unless the layoffs come from cancelled projects, it doesn't make much sense to me, since it seems to me that most of Intel's major problems have stemmed from execution failures:
  • the 10 nm fiasco
  • Sapphire Rapids' years of delay
  • Ponte Vecchio's delay & yield problems
  • Alchemist dGPU's delay and underperformance
  • cancellation of Meteor Lake-S
  • now this Raptor Lake degradation debacle

I hoped Gelsinger would right the ship and get the problems sorted out that have been hampering Intel's ability to execute, but I think Wall St. is more of a "Mr Right Now" than "Mr Right", when it comes to Intel's long term best interests. With profits sagging, investors probably demanded something be done. Let's hope it doesn't come at too high a cost, long-term.

I wonder if the biggest competitive advantage AMD has over Intel is merely the fact that they haven't paid out dividends. IMO, dividends attract the wrong kind of investor, when you have a high tech business that requires substantial reinvestment in R&D, with long lead times.
 

watzupken

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I think Intel sat on its own success for way too long, not expecting competitors to hit them back fast and furious. In my opinion, Intel have been tripping over themselves over time and again in recent years as they scramble to course correct. Their products are generally delayed for too long, and not competitive. I am a user of Intel CPUs and also using an Arc A770. The latter for example was delayed way too long and no surprises, by the time they launch it, they are 1 generation behind their competitors to be truly competitive. Recent events don't help Intel as well, such as the way they are handling the Raptor Lake issue, and also the use of TSMC 3nm for their Lunar Lake CPUs. On the surface, they may look harmless, but in reality, I feel it is damaging to their CPU and fab business given that Intel don't think their fab is good enough to use and produce their CPU tile. I think they are starting to see the drawback of tripling down fab business, but may be too late to back down given the commitment and investment that they have put in.
 
Jul 27, 2024
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My condolences to all affected by this move. Unless the layoffs come from cancelled projects, it doesn't make much sense to me, since it seems to me that most of Intel's major problems have stemmed from execution failures:
  • the 10 nm fiasco
  • Sapphire Rapids' years of delay
  • Ponte Vecchio's delay & yield problems
  • Alchemist dGPU's delay and underperformance
  • cancellation of Meteor Lake-S
  • now this Raptor Lake degradation debacle

I hoped Gelsinger would right the ship and get the problems sorted out that have been hampering Intel's ability to execute, but I think Wall St. is more of a "Mr Right Now" than "Mr Right", when it comes to Intel's long term best interests. With profits sagging, investors probably demanded something be done. Let's hope it doesn't come at too high a cost, long-term.

I wonder if the biggest competitive advantage AMD has over Intel is merely the fact that they haven't paid out dividends. IMO, dividends attract the wrong kind of investor, when you have a high tech business that requires substantial reinvestment in R&D, with long lead times.

Yes, it's executive mistakes... from before Pat become CEO.

Things take time.
 
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bit_user

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I think they are starting to see the drawback of tripling down fab business, but may be too late to back down given the commitment and investment that they have put in.
They have no choice. Fab costs are increasing too fast. Their own products will not be able to continue funding the needed fab developments. The only way to sustain their fab business is to open it to outside customers. Even spinning it off isn't an option, until they achieve a substantial revenue ramp.

Free money from the CHIPS act wasn't enough.
It's not really free money. It's meant as an inducement to increase fab buildouts beyond what they'd have done without it. Also, unless you know otherwise, I think they probably have yet to actually receive any payouts.
 
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waltc3

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Intel's largest problem for many, many years has been upper management. They pulled Gelsinger out of retirement to head up the company because the board has no tech savvy--they looked at the numbers during Gelsinger's time, the Halcyon days of Intel of yore, back when Intel was "competing" by throwing money around to bankrupt its would-be competitors, subsidizing Dell to sell nothing but Intel products, refusing spare parts orders to companies making and selling AMD products, etc. But nobody will allow Intel to do that anymore. Those days are gone for good. I've advised Intel for years to spin off the CPU division and make it a separate company, and bad management continues to refuse to do that. Intel, year after year after year, was spending far more money for R&D than AMD, and here you can see their problem clearly. Gelsinger wants to throw more money into R&D because that's the way he did it way back when, when Gelsinger should know perfectly well that's not a productive strategy. AMD ran past Intel as if it was sitting still, on a fraction of the R&D expenditures @ Intel.

The layoffs are needed, of course, but that won't be nearly enough. The company needs reorganization from top to bottom. The reason is a simple one. Intel is still very much organized as it was when it was a high-end x86 monopoly CPU supplier. They still throw a lot of money into idiot marketing as top management thinks people don't buy hardware, they buy dumb marketing, instead...;) The old guard at Intel simply knows next to nothing about how to create and run a very competitive tech company in today's savvy marketplace. The name of the game? Products. Period. If you don't have competitive products today, you lose. AMD has always understood that, and Lisa Su understands it better than anyone. "Build a better mousetrap, and they will come," has never been more true than it is today. I don't see Intel willing to make the necessary internal changes to become competitive again. I would think that at some point in the last nine years these things might've taken root in the company. It's too big, too cumbersome, too clumsy, and it needs to do more than one spin-off to become manageable again.
 

bit_user

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Intel, year after year after year, was spending far more money for R&D than AMD,
They're not comparable. Intel has fabs, while AMD doesn't. To make them comparable, you should add together the R&D budget of both AMD and TSMC.

Also, Intel traditionally played in more markets than AMD. So, that's another reason it's a mismatched comparison.

I've advised Intel for years to spin off the CPU division and make it a separate company
Too bad they don't read the comments on these websites, eh?
; )

I think spinning it off right now could be disastrous. The CPU division is carrying the rest of the company, just as Habana is trying to get its legs under it and their foundry business is trying to build a customer base. Even the CPU division faces some headwinds from alternative ISAs like ARM and RISC-V, leading to some uncertainty around how Intel will navigate that increased potential for competition.

I don't see Intel willing to make the necessary internal changes to become competitive again. I would think that at some point in the last nine years these things might've taken root in the company. It's too big, too cumbersome, too clumsy, and it needs to do more than one spin-off to become manageable again.
They killed Optane, sold off the SSD business, spun out Altera, spun out MobilEye, and killed off lots of other products and projects. Before that, they got out of the datacenter networking business, not long before Nvidia went in the opposite direction. I think Gelsinger has done a lot to try and make the business leaner and more focused. I don't know how much more fat they can cut, before hitting muscle and bone.
 
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Silas Sanchez

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Intel were great back in the days of Pentium 4 and the first Dual cores and Quad cores, before the rise of imperialism.
Going from my Pentium 4 3.8GHz to the first quad core 3GHz was incredible, they were like a super computer, never before had i seen such multitasking on a desktop pc. Crysis ran so well on the dual cores and quad cores while allowing music in the background, web browsing etc. Do that on an OCd P4 and the game frame rate was a stuttery mess.
Sadly after that Intel went down hill making the same boring stuff over and over and was replaced by AMD, to this day it boggles my mind people actually buy Intel desktop cpus. Intel are anti consumer with their sockets-no future proofing at all like AMD. Just look at how bad they have gotten, the 14th gen was a tiny bit more perf over 13th but at the cost of alot more power draw. AMD are just smashing it.
But i got to admit Intels mobile cpus are fantastic, how i can get 5hours of web browsing full brightness on my Thinkpad P72, ill never know.

Times have changed, made in Taiwan and China is the future. Cheaper and better in a world where everything is now getting a 1year warranty. Mil-spec made in USA military flashlight? Yeah, 1 year warranty.
 

Neilbob

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Speaking as a peon...

As always, I expect the innocent peons who are the ones who will suffer, while upper management continue to probably gorge on inflated salaries and undeserved bonuses (though I expect that money still amounts to a rounding error, and that's obviously the only thing most shareholders care about).

Also, not even 8 months ago: https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-i...-totalling-700-layoffs-in-the-state-this-year
 

punkncat

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The writing has been on the wall for some time in regard to this. They laid back on their laurels for over a decade, didn't feel the need to innovate since they ruled the space so long. They released three generations right in a row that weren't worth moving to. They went backwards between 10th and 11th gen using a smaller core count binned i7 as the flagship product i9. And the cherry on top is trying to hide the well reported incidents with 13th and 14th.

They are still, powerful, and well funded to a degree that I expect they will have a comeback, but the overall of these incidents, decisions, and situations could not have been a better gift or more well timed for AMD to take it to them.
 

Taslios

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Jul 11, 2024
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I hoped Gelsinger would right the ship and get the problems sorted out that have been hampering Intel's ability to execute, but I think Wall St. is more of a "Mr Right Now" than "Mr Right", when it comes to Intel's long term best interests. With profits sagging, investors probably demanded something be done. Let's hope it doesn't come at too high a cost, long-term.

I wonder if the biggest competitive advantage AMD has over Intel is merely the fact that they haven't paid out dividends. IMO, dividends attract the wrong kind of investor, when you have a high tech business that requires substantial reinvestment in R&D, with long lead times.
I suspect you are right and Pat will not be given the time needed to right the ship. That said, he might also have caused some of the issues.... Intel Foundry is a huge loss at the moment and may never pay off if issues with their chips and fear of IP theft keep would be customer/competitors away.

Either way mass layoffs from Intel will only strengthen AMD and Nvidia as they hoover up all anyone worth adding to their teams. We need competition, so I hope Intel can right the ship.

Also.. Amd HAS paid dividends... in last time in 1995, so they are better than say Amazon which has literally never paid a dividend... **Splits hairs**
 

Giroro

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Laying off employees will never solve a problem with executive leadership, because executives can't get laid off.

Somebody at Intel thought it made sense for Raja "his work at AMD Radeon is likely the reason Nvidia is an uncontested monopoly" Kudori to lead a bleeding edge development team. Whoever made that decision is probably still at the company, making a lot of other obviously bad decisions. They've probably made other "worst possible person on Earth for the job" hiring decisions. Maybe it was the last CEO, maybe its somebody on the board of executives. But until they've re-vetted and weeded out everybody who was put into the wrong position by that same person/process, then the business is going to continue having top-down leadership and decision making problems that will never be solved by layoffs.

That said, Intel is a huge company and they probably have plenty of employees in non technical roles who are in non-essential jobs. Intel probably also has plenty of technical employees who are not very good at their jobs, or are in the wrong jobs.
But a bad leader who makes bad decisions can't be trusted to hire the right people, and similarly they can't be trusted to fire the right people. Change has to happen from the top down.

The next step would then be to fire anybody who thinks that the definition of "Agile" is "A strict and inflexible business management structure that should cost a company millions of dollars a year in certification and consultation fees". Those kinds of people are basically the schoolyard bullies doing the cliché "Stop hitting yourself" bit. They're the last people you want around if you need your organization to be lean, responsive, and ironically agile.