Yeah, it's always possible China goes nuclear with the treasuries, but they would do so at the cost of devaluing the rest of their holdings and the risk of turning a trade spat over tariffs, a common practice, into something far worse. Destabilizing world markets would not help them on the global stage.
It's not all-or-nothing, though. They could just start unwinding their position. Gradually, at first, and then threaten to step it up. Perhaps they'll wait until Trump has a few more irons in the fire, as there are rumors he's now about to turn up the heat on India.
As for the Iran thing, how does it make us look weak and distracted when a drone got downed by an isolated, extremist regime? I for one am glad something like that didn't result in a open conflict.
First, I'm certainly not pushing for war. However, in a sense, his bluff was called. Now, Iran basically knows how much they can get away with, without risk of a kinetic reaction. So, it can turn into a cat and mouse game, where Iran continually just harasses US forces.
What I'm anticipating is basically a situation where the US gets bogged down, having to police the Strait of Hormuz. Such a stalemate could just drag on... do you really think that's a positive?
I could see Iran going the way of NK (which does have nuclear weapons)...
The problem with Iran restarting its uranium enrichment is that now other middle east states are going to want nukes, too. At that point, it's basically a matter of time before terrorists manage to get one.
Some well placed ordinance opens the door for change from the interior.
Except a lot of public discontent has turned from blaming their regime to blaming the US for their problems. You can't simply assume that Iran's regime will fall like a house of cards. Even if it did, regime change hasn't worked so well in pretty much everywhere we tried it, lately.
I don't think there's any negotiating with the Iranian leadership,
Agreed. Hence, why I think this is gonna be a quagmire.
I'll add that hoping for a successful revolution is quite a Hail Mary. And any Iranians who had such inclinations can't have been encouraged after seeing the way Trump left Juan Guaidó hanging, in Venezuela.