1. It is already possible to grow rat nuerons in a dish and link them to physical systems. It should be feasible to create a very powerful artificial mind within a couple of decades.
2. Computer systems can be linked together wirelessly to form much more advanced systems that would seem impossible otherwise. Even though you can't "predict" the future, you can reasonably predict the strength of such things as wireless transmission rates, chips, storage, etc... Generally, an increase of an order of magnitude every 5 years.
3. Any kill switch built into a weapon that would roam freely must be activated by some means of remote control which subjects such means to hacking by an advesary.
4. The arms race is already giving way to the intelligent arms race. The military has the most money to pour into intelligent systems, so intelligent systems will be used for either killing people, or recon purposes. The key tenant in the military is keeping ahead of the Joneses, so they will always strive to build what they are capable of building, lest the others potentially beat them to the punch.
2. Computer systems can be linked together wirelessly to form much more advanced systems that would seem impossible otherwise. Even though you can't "predict" the future, you can reasonably predict the strength of such things as wireless transmission rates, chips, storage, etc... Generally, an increase of an order of magnitude every 5 years.
3. Any kill switch built into a weapon that would roam freely must be activated by some means of remote control which subjects such means to hacking by an advesary.
4. The arms race is already giving way to the intelligent arms race. The military has the most money to pour into intelligent systems, so intelligent systems will be used for either killing people, or recon purposes. The key tenant in the military is keeping ahead of the Joneses, so they will always strive to build what they are capable of building, lest the others potentially beat them to the punch.