I started entering shuffles on April 14th and was selected on the 26th.
I suspect the odds are actually very different between each option, and I never enter all of them all myself. I'm sure the bare graphics cards and cheaper bundles have the most competition. In my case, I won an RTX 3060 and monitor bundle. I didn't quite need the monitor, but the bundle was still several hundred dollars cheaper than just the RTX 3060 from eBay, so I'd say it was a good deal. I understand the criticisim of the bundles, but if it's still significantly less than market value for a card, is it really a bad deal?