[citation][nom]killerclick[/nom]No, we predicted it would be a failure because of the changes Microsoft made to it.We're proclaiming it a failure because it has a 30% slower adoption rate than Vista had, despite being released just before the Xmas shopping season.Fans of Windows 8 and Metro need to recognize they're the minority. More than 96% of PC users are not using Windows 8, and the reason is not steep hardware requirements, or bugs, or the unavailability of drivers, but the stupid touch centric interface that most users don't want anywhere near their PCs - hence the 3.3% market share for Windows 8.[/citation]
I don't think you understand the power of "bad press". A lot of people have a negative attitude because of the opinions of people who never touched the OS and started complaining about touch from day one.
Also, you don't understand that very few people have any reason to change from Win 7 to Win 8; it just doesn't give them anything new they need or want, unless they want touch. I would say less than 1 in a thousand actually know anything about the other changes to the OS that have nothing to do with touch (and they are changes that no one "needs" anyway).
Vista was different; Vista came with a version of DirectX that XP didn't have. Vista was designed to be a 64-bit OS. There were big changes that made it more attractive to potential users; there aren't really any with Win 8.
So, there were compelling reasons to switch to Vista, and there are none for Win 8 (for 99% of the people not interested in the touch interface). If you want to say that Microsoft thought touch would make Win 8 a big success on desktop computers, and in that Win 8 failed to meet their expectations, I would certainly agree. However, that doesn't make it a failure - anymore than Vista turned out to be a failure.
Win 7 got great press from the word go. Therefore, the layman thought it was a better OS than Vista - but it is actually the same OS with some minor tweaks. Aero was detuned so it took less resources, which meant it ran better on your $599 computer, but it wasn't really better except it wasn't released with the driver issues and other problems Vista had on release - no surprise there, the bugs were fixed, drivers caught up, really all MS needed to do was give Vista a new name (because the Vista name was "tainted") and make sure the press was on board with the fact that it was a polished release of Windows and so a good replacement for Vista. The press agreed, and so the people agreed. "Win 7 is what Vista should have been" was often said. Well, after all the patches and updates, Vista pretty much was Win 7 except it still had a more demanding Aero (and better looking, in my opinion).
So; your "predictions" are a part what caused some of the slowdown in switching, not necessarily the actual performance of the touch interface. I mean, most people haven't a clue so will just follow the general word of what some other guy says. The bigger part though is that there is no reason for people to switch. Touch isn't something that people in general really want on their desktop - but that doesn't make the OS failure.