[citation][nom]blakbird24[/nom]Unfortunately, your opinion of Surface has no bearing whatsoever on it's actual sales. Mark my words, Surface RT will sell like mad and have Apple scrambling for an answer (they already hurried the release of the iPad 4, why do you suppose no one had any clue that was coming?). Surface can't help but succeed simply because of what it is. The world has been screaming for a tablet like Surface...all Microsoft (or anybody) had to do was offer a windows compatible tablet with a premium look and feel and price it lower than the iPad. They did exactly that. I agree that they could have done a better job with both Surface RT and Windows 8, but in the end it won't matter...just as the PS3 and Blu-Ray mutually assured each other's success, Surface and Windows 8 will become the new standards in their classes.[/citation]
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Unfortunately, you opinion of Surface has no nearing whatsoever on it's actual sales as well, so what's your point? My cumulative knowledge of this space and business leads me to my projection of at least 5:1 sales of iPads to Surface tablets. So as both an AAPL and MSFT investor I don't really expect my MSFT stock to rise dramatically with Surface, if it met your projections it would, again I disagree with you.
You talk about PS3 and Blu-Ray, funny how that's Sony and Microsoft was Xbox 360 and HD-DVD and the HD-DVD format was a complete flop, again something I told family members and friends not to purchase and go with Blu-Ray since it will have more market traction.
Windows 8 Pro and a $499 Surface tablet was something I was hoping for. Xbox 360 like other competing consoles offer their product for a loss at the beginning to get market share and over time they make up the subsidized cost. This is the model Microsoft had to follow.
It may take 2-3 releases for the Surface to get the market share 'some' people are expecting. Being the third wheel in this market can take years to gain real traction, especially when there is nothing really differentiating the RT model from existing tablet. You can get office productivity tools on iPad and Android tablets, are they "Office" no, but they can open, edit, save "Office" files. So to me that is not enough. Microsoft again is going back to keyboards as something they want to focus on, again cool, but these are touch tablets. Bluetooth keyboards are available for years on iPad and Android tablets. If they said you can have your windows games and programs work on a tablet (PRO) for below the iPad price, now that will start to get market share.
We'll wait and see, but I think Microsoft dropped the ball a bit, considering they're sitting on billions of cash and can afford a subsidized device. This is a multi-billion dollar market and they can get a good ROI over time even if the tablet is sold a little below cost.