[citation][nom]rocwurst[/nom]Zac, I think you'd better look more closely at the Changewave graph you reference as your conclusion is quite distorted.At the launch of the iPhone 5, a massive 71% of consumers planned to buy the iPhone while at the launch of the Samsung 3 during the previous quarter only 19% planned to buy Samsung.Samsung has been stuck between 13% and 21% for the past 12 months while the iPhone has oscilated between 50% and 71% over the same timeframe. (there is always a seasonal drop after the launch of a new iPhone model in Changewave's charts)Apple has sold 220 million iPhones in the same time as Samsung sold less than half that - 100 million Galaxy smartphones.In a single week of sales at the end of Q3 2012, the iPhone 5 captured 27% of the entire worldwide 4G LTE subscriber base according to Strategy Analytics despite Android LTE smartphones being available for more than 12 months prior to that point.Then there is the 5 million iPhones sold in the launch weekend over 5 countries and 2 million sold over the launch weekend in China and analyst's estimates of an enormous 55 million iPhones being sold in Q4 2012 and Kantar's report that the iPhone captured a massive 53% of smartphone sales in the USA last quarter.If the Samsung Galaxy S3 is red hot, I guess that means the iPhone is white hot.[/citation]
You're one quarter behind, my friend.
The reason this is new is because of the trend. Up until the just-past holiday season, Android had been gaining on Apple, HOWEVER, Apple was still advancing. We are now at the pivot. The iPhone 5 launch will go down as the watershed moment in Apple's rise-and-fall story, the definitive point where it could be argued that Apple failed. Every iPhone up to the 4S launched as a truly superior phone. This is what gave Apple its incredible momentum as it appeared that they just existed on another plane, and no one else was operating at their level. The 4S launch is where the doubt began to surface, because it was merely an equivalent to the Galaxy S2 that launched just weeks prior. It was the first time that Apple failed to set the bar at another incredible height. They merely matched their competition. The iPhone 5 confirmed everyone's fears when it launched, as it was actually inferior...for the first time a brand new iPhone was not the best phone available. Apple built it's empire on wowing the world with incredible products that no one else could offer. These days it's simply showing us alternatives to existing concepts. Thus, the bubble is bursting, as they say.
Don't get me wrong, Apple isn't "doomed". They've got so much money on hand that they couldn't possibly go anywhere. However, their days at the top are over. Apple's mobile products will always be competitive offerings, but from here on out the iPhone and iPad will be exactly what the Mac has been for the last decade...a niche computer for a particular type of customer.