realnoize, that was some good stuff there about the way the masses get left behind, how often people upgrade, etc.
JasonGilley :
... And please don't bring up the joke of tape backup with its ridiculous cost, slowness & erasability.
Modern tape tech (Ultrium) is expensive only from the point of view of a normal consumer, but it is definitely not slow. With compression, a peak of 400MB/sec is possible with LTO6 (160MB/sec peak native). In standard networks, the bottleneck will normally be a typical GigE port, not the tape unit. Speeds & capacities will jump again with LTO7, and there's already a roadmap out to 48TB native capacities with >1GB/sec native speeds.
In one LTO6 review I read, tested over a 10GigE link with a typical mix of files (documents, presentations, media, etc.), 165MB/sec was normal, rising to 243MB/sec with a larger 256KB block size (and better in both cases with highly compressible data).
One can also define a tape to have an LTFS (sic. file system) that allows it to present to the OS as a normal drive
so one can do drag & drop backup. Archive speed is reduced quite a bit (more like 65MB/sec), but restoration speed is quite good (over 140MB/sec, or 174MB/sec with highly compressible data), though exploiting LTFS requires the adoption of sensible usage/access policies, for obvious reasons.
LTO6 is 2.5TB native, 6.25TB compressed, and now has 90% of the archive market. There's also a new medium in use, Barium Ferrite, which will be the norm for LTO7 onwards.
Besides, what's totally missing from your argument about cost is the value of your data! That is often far more than the cost of any backup medium to the person or organisation in question. I talked to someone yesterday who lost over 800 movie files when his disk died, because he didn't have a backup. And I wonder how often already there have been ordinary families who've lost items such as wedding & holiday pictures/vids because of a failed disk & no backup.
It's too easy to get blinded by the upfront cost of a backup system & media, but like insurance, that's not remotely the point. Those who don't like the cost are probably the same who feel that the insurance cover they took out for a holiday was wasted after they safely return, but that's only because nothing happened, and misses the purpose of insurance (people who take out loan insurance often moan in the same way, which is dumb). When something bad does happen, medical holiday insurance really saves the day.
So an LTO6 is 1500 and the carts are 60 each (UKP I mean), but really that's diddly squat to a typical company in terms of potential damage from lost data or down time. Backup is a worthwhile investment. Last month I was able to keep a small clothing company going with no down time because I'd setup a backup disk clone system. At the extreme fail end of the spectrum, I once heard from a large confectionary company (which shall remain nameless) that was losing 250K/day in lost production because of a failed server for which they didn't have backups of the original 8" installation floppies (the admin told me if I had a very specific ancient IBM 8" floppy, they'd buy it for 25K immediately; I didn't, but I guess someone got lucky that day).
What would be good for consumers is some kind of lesser version of LTO that's cheaper by way of not having many of the Enterprise features, connects just via eSATA or USB3(.1), etc.
Ian.