TL;DR: I am sure there will be games where the 7900 XTX is only 10% slower than a 4090. I am equally sure there will be games where the 4090 is closer to double the performance (Cyberpunk 2077 with DXR fully enabled being a prime example). Which games are "most important" will be an entirely subjective opinion. Is the performance hit of DXR worth the visual upgrade? On an RX 6000-series or RTX 20-series GPU, the answer will often be "not really," but on a card like the 4090 you suddenly have so much performance that things that previously made no sense start to seem like a good idea. That's the short summary. The longer opinion / reasoning follows...
That linked article is almost laughable. "...10% slower on average versus RTX 4090 according to extrapolated preliminary graphs." It says it right in the title.
Extrapolated graphs. Based on what?
AMD's own benchmarks! News flash: AMD isn't going to lead with its worst-case results. It included three DXR games in one of the slides showing a 50-70% performance uplift over the 6950 XT, but they're all
lighter DXR games. It also included Cyberpunk 2077, one of the most demanding games around if you enabled DXR,
but left DXR off! It did however show a different slide with DXR RT-Ultra settings:
Based on the native performance, looking at those pixel heights, the RX 7900 XTX gets around 21 fps (20.6 if you want less rounding) at 4K RT-Ultra settings. The RX 6950 XT meanwhile only gets around 13 fps (12.5 fps with more precision). Guess what? I've already tested an RTX 4090 at precisely these settings, and I've also tested an RX 6950 XT! Let's see what my number say:
Look at the RX 6950 XT: 12.7 fps, or nearly exactly in line with AMD's revealed performance. And the 4090 got 44.1 fps, more than double the RX 7900 XTX. (20.6 fps puts it at the same level as an RTX 3080 12GB / 3080 Ti. Ouch!) Yes, FSR will improve performance, but the same applies to DLSS. I show DLSS Quality mode performance on the 4090 of 78 fps, but AMD is using FSR Performance mode. DLSS Performance mode gets into the 95 fps range (
https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/Xqr3ea83xKDM5f32tBc2NR.png), and that's at more demanding Psycho Lighting settings. DLSS3 Performance mode would then boost that to 141 fps. Still a massive jump in either case over the 62 fps figure AMD shows for the 7900 XTX.
I could try to run tests with Dying Light 2 and Hitman 3, but it's less clear what sequence was used for testing (DL2 doesn't have a built-in benchmark). And it's still only three games. We'll see around December 13 just how well AMD's new GPUs stack up to the competition. I suspect they'll give the 4080 something to chew on. I suspect they'll be better values than the 4090, especially at street prices. But I also suspect there will be cases where the 4090 is easily 50% faster than the XTX, and for those who want the fastest GPU possible (melting adapter optional!), I think AMD will need a bigger chip than Navi 31's GCD.